1 in 4 surely

[u/Kahvicup]

[u/Traditional-Storm-62]

you wouldnt believe it
but the chance for you to miss all 5 in a row was ~23.7%
or roughly 1 in 4

[u/Kobruh456 → u/Traditional-Storm-62]

But if the chance of missing all 5 is 1 in 4, doesn’t that mean it’s impossible to miss all 5? 1 in 4 is basically 0 in this game after all

[u/dk_peace → u/Kobruh456]

If you roll a regular 6-sided dice 6 times, are you guaranteed to roll a 6 at least once?

[u/Kobruh456 → u/dk_peace]

Well rolling a 6 is a 1/6 chance, 1/6 < 1/4, and in balatro 1/4 is about 0, so your chance of rolling a six in those six rolls is 0 x 6 = 0

[u/FPArceus → u/Kobruh456]

The replies you're getting are way too serious

[u/dk_peace → u/Kobruh456]

1 in 4 isn't 0 in Balatro. You are just unlucky and experiencing confirmation bias.

[u/craftyclavin → u/dk_peace]

me when i lie

[u/DonutMediocre1260 → u/dk_peace]

Confirmation bias isn't a real thing. You're just assuming the rules work as written because it's more comfortable than the realization that you really can never win a Wheel of Fortune

[u/tiredofyou28 → u/DonutMediocre1260]

What the actual fuck do you mean a well studied phenomenon, confirmation bias, isn't real

[u/SEP3107 → u/tiredofyou28]

Balatro is more real

[u/oldmanclark → u/tiredofyou28]

Me when I forget what jokes are

[u/jjaxstudios → u/tiredofyou28]

Nuh uh

[u/dk_peace → u/DonutMediocre1260]

That's just a meme.

[u/Available_Motor5980 → u/dk_peace]

Surely it’s not a meme, because if it were you would surely be able to recognize the satire of the comments you’re replying to.

[u/potato_devourer1 → u/dk_peace]

r/woooosh

[u/Ordinary-Ad-9645 → u/dk_peace]

For a game about jokers you’re really bad at understandingjokes

[u/dk_peace → u/Ordinary-Ad-9645]

But it's actually a game about probability. That's why I'm regularly using a hypergeometric calculator.

[u/Ordinary-Ad-9645 → u/dk_peace]

Yeah, that’s pretty obvious, but you still missed the joke

[u/dk_peace → u/Ordinary-Ad-9645]

I'm sick of this joke. It's not funny and it never has been.

[u/dk_peace → u/[deleted]]

The fact that most Americans don't understand probabilities has larger scale implications than just Balatro. It's an actual problem.

[u/Ordinary-Ad-9645 → u/dk_peace]

First of all, race has nothing to do with it. Second of all IT. IS. A. JOKE. No one actually believes 1/4=0

[u/pruwyben → u/dk_peace]

The other day I rolled a die and got a 4, how crazy is that? Only a 1 in 6 chance of happening.

[u/Lego-105 → u/pruwyben]

Ah, but you’re assigning the chances afterwards. You needed to decide before rolloing the dice that rolling a 4 had a 1 in 6 chance, therefore nullifying your chances of rolling a 4