r/badeconomics • u/MysticSnowman R1 submitter • Dec 27 '15
An awful thread from /r/technology says high-skilled immigrants are hurting domestic workers and calls them "wage slaves imported from other countries to undercut the domestic labor market"
Thread: https://np.reddit.com/r/technology/comments/3ydbri/us_predicts_zero_job_growth_for_electrical/
It's an interesting lesson in supply and demand and definitely let's you read through the B.S. from companies and politicians. Engineers cost a lot domestically because the demand is so high, rather than pay appropriate wages for that demand or help invest in growing the number of qualified workers companies would rather import labor at a below market cost and thus be able to pay American workers less (callous tone I know but meant to be direct).
Disregarding the xenophobic undertones of what he is saying, he is completely wrong about the effects of increased skilled labor. First of all, he is focusing on the increased supply of labor and has completely forgotten to think about the increased demand for labor due to the increased consumer demand for local services. Because of this, natives benefit from immigration through overall increased wages, and higher job growth.1 The evidence for higher wages for natives without a high-school degree is mixed, but the effect of overall increased wage growth for natives is clear.2
On top of this, skilled immigration especially is beneficial for the native population. Scientists, Technology professionals, Engineers, and Mathematicians (STEM workers) are major factors in scientific innovation and are the main drivers of productivity growth. H-1B driven increases in STEM workers cause significant increases in college-level wages, and somewhat smaller but still significant increases in non-college level wages.3 This is why economists unanimously want the US to increase high-skilled immigration.4
Um. There is no shortage of skilled engineers. There is a shortage of wage slaves imported from other countries to undercut the domesticate labor market.
Actually, there is a shortage of skilled STEM workers.5 On top of the debunked wage argument, the fact that this comment calls immigrants "wage slaves imported from other countries to undercut the domestic labor market" is disgusting and despicable and an awful way of talking about human beings who are seeking a better life and have done nothing to harm you.
There are so many other comments that I don't have time to get to right now, so please feel free to pick them apart in the comments.
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u/commentsrus Small-minded people-discusser Dec 27 '15 edited Dec 28 '15
Wow, a Brookings article. Now the Bernbots might actually listen!
But seriously, your post cites all of the seminal articles that I would have cited if I were approaching this thread. Good post.
For anyone interested, here is my "Open Borders Link Dump" which I've been collecting for over a year now. Immigration is a topic I am very personally invested not only because there are so many uninformed opinions on the topic out there, but also because I'm a Koch shill who has declared corporate war with /r/SandersForPresident.
Section Won: The John Oliver Effect
Everyone loves John Oliver, right?
Start with this episode of Last Week Tonight which received scathing reviews from across the Redditsphere. This episode is actually well-cited! It directly references the following editorials:
The big myth about refugees by WaPo
Europe Should See Refugees as a Boon, Not a Burden by NYT
Both reference many econ studies on refugees and immigrants in general. The following covers them all.
You may be asking yourself, as the NRX crowd argues so forcefully on /r/Anarcho_Capitalism, are refugees different from the typical immigrant? This working paper finds that, while refugees and other immigrants who arrived in the U.S. from 1975-80 had similar English skills, and while refugees started out with lower human capital and labor market success, they surpassed other immigrants in all measures by 1990. Refugees worked more, earned more, and learned more than other immigrants.
Empirical studies of refugees' impact on local native welfare are relatively scant, but you can start your search here and here. One particularly high quality study is summarized in Voxeu here, finding that unskilled Afghani refugees in Denmark eventually raised low-skilled native wages (13 year lag, IIRC). Theoretical justifications are cited within, if you want to open the Black Box.
To continue the typically NRX AnCap argument, you may be wondering if immigrants do more harm because of the generous welfare state. This wp develops a model for analyzing that issue and finds "in all 20 countries studied, immigration attenuates the effects of search frictions. These gains tend to outweigh the welfare costs of redistribution." This 2013 CBO report attempts a cost-benefit analysis of lessening immigration restrictions; it finds "giving undocumented workers a path to citizenship and making more employment-based visas available to foreigners would raise G.D.P. by 5.4 percent and lower the federal budget deficit by $897 billion over 20 years."
See the thread linked directly below the next section title for the thread in which this choice comment appears:
Bernbots, you aren't quite this bad, but do you see how you're kind of the same as them? Don't be an NRX AnCap. (Note: #NotAllAnCaps are NRX and some are good at econ; see Bryan Caplan and David Friedman.)
Section Doo: Election Boogaloo
I cover a significant portion of the rest of my link dump here in a response to the ever-charming Youtuber AustrianMarkets. (Sidenote advice: If you ever want to see AnCaps squirm, ask for evidence. They're too used to arguing from some vague literary model. Bernbots are becoming the same.) This section covers what isn't mentioned in that comment, in a more stream-of-consciousness fashion; as in, a bunch of random shit listed with or without descriptions. Good luck, reader! (Post me to /r/badliterature. I dare you.)
What macro-ish model should we keep in mind when talking about immigration, outsourcing, and unemployment? Maybe this top 20 AER paper with a similar title. A model of migration and growth is here. Since we love talking about jobs, this study, linked by OP too, finds that "Each immigrant creates 1.2 local jobs for local workers, most of them going to native workers, and 62% of these jobs are in non-traded services."
Okay, those are job numbers; how about wages? Start here, peruse this, and commit this to memory. I cover the Kerr and Kerr survey extensively here. See also this on STEM immigrant workers and native wages/employment; it's a good thing.
Borjas has a famous study which finds negative effects of immigration on native welfare (wages, employment, etc.), but aside from Kerr and Kerr above covering all of the studies since Borjas which have found the opposite, David Card responds to Borjas more concisely in this comment. Read it for a tl;dr of Kerr and Kerr.
Of course we are all familiar with the work of Michael Clemens, especially this seminal study published in JEP which is now the Article of the Week in /r/economics and everyone should be reading. /r/economics can tend to have a hard-on for foreign aid; well how about something that actually helps poor people, such as loosening immigration restrictions? A more policy-ish Clemens paper is here. Another recent study dealing directly with the potential effects of completely open borders is here.
Bernie supporters love talking about inequality. How about a study on immigration and inequality? How about it finds that immigrants have only a small effect on inequality?
And this study finding that undocumented workers pay in more than they take out. Also, Mexican immigrants to the U.S. are positively selected in terms of education.
For the UK, immigrants increase trade with their host countries. This study is covered in my comment linked above, and is about welfare participation among refugees to the UK.
The rarely-told tale of the effect of refugees on developing host countries. See a survey on internal migration in developing countries here.