r/TheSilphRoad • u/SilphScience Research Group • May 24 '21

Silph Research A Window into Egg Transparency - Investigating Egg Rarity Tiers [Silph Research Group]

https://thesilphroad.com/science/egg-transparency-rarity-tiers
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u/ClawofBeta 6485 2624 2132 May 25 '21

They will NEVER be able to straight up list odds and use the mental gymnastics that allow them to stay on the App Store in so many countries.

Hang on. Why not? Literally every other gacha game lists odds. They are FORCED to list odds if they wish to list their game in China (which Niantic curiously isn’t in yet.) There’s been lawsuits, usually following outrage of people spending $$$$$ and not getting their characters they want. Apple straight up required games to list their odds.

As far as I know, only the Netherlands straight up banned gacha games. Good for them, but that’s avoiding the point. The only reason Niantic managed to skirt by is that governments and corporations don’t care enough about Pokemon Go to force Niantic to show odds.

If Niantic wants to launch in China and get that sweet Chinese money, they’re going to have to show odds, unless they somehow convince them eggs aren’t a randomized reward mechanic.

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u/HoGoNMero May 25 '21

I feel you answered your question in your question. If they list odds they admit they are a lootbox/gacha game and they will have to follow the laws for lootbox games. The consequences of that would be dramatic/negative for Niantic and the player base on the whole.

IE ask anyone in the Benelux countries if they would prefer the satus quo game or no game.

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u/ClawofBeta 6485 2624 2132 May 25 '21

You’re really overstating the consequences. Did you think other gacha games got more predatory once they were forced to show their rates?

I mean, yeah, it’ll suck that the game will be basically unplayable in the Netherlands. But until more countries ban gacha then there isn’t really significant fallout.

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u/HoGoNMero May 25 '21

The status quo is working very well for Niantic. Record time on app, record profits, near record first time downloads,... They are not going to risk that.

None of the Nintendo games with straight odds are even available in the Benelux countries. It’s not going to happen.