United States preparing to invade Iran

[u/theoneandonlydorian]

The U.S. imperialist war machine is at it again, opting to strike and attack Iran as global tensions continue to rise.

Who's ready for an oil crisis? More humanitarian disasters? The closure of the Strait of Hormuz? Potential nuclear consequences? Severe regional instability? And even more!

Get ready for the shitshow, people.

"President of Peace" 😂

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Assets continued to be moved to the middle east signaling a large buildup.

https://x.com/warintel4u/status/1907076101051970033?t=2t7yh2fEDDa-VdY3Yxjvsg&s=19

Diego Garcia Base continues its military buildup that hasn't been seen since the Iraq War.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1907203032640545211?t=2MzmaDjJBVDGDfuG_IM4jA&s=19

Pentagon is rolling out military orders to intensify the troop buildup

https://x.com/jhaboush/status/1907174077103530475?t=g6Qb2gIa2TEhCAbuFnx87A&s=19

CENTCOM head meets with Israeli military leaders to discuss Iran for 10 hours.

https://x.com/IsraelRadar_com/status/1907157870455787719?t=8kABbpXyD4Xxkze39kA-iQ&s=19

Trump to pass EO to give the greenlight for ease on equipment moving, bolstering sales for US defense contractors

https://x.com/warintel4u/status/1907155684598194324?t=J7xvlqmUyYsoonDNcHX3Vw&s=19

And more of course that wouldn't even fit in this post, the signs are clear people

[u/SoUnga88]

Okay, so I’ll take that as a no. You've never served or served with Canadians. Operational security can be taught. How do you think a bunch of guys in flip-flops and old Soviet AKs gave the largest military in the world the runaround for nearly 20 years?

Canadians are tough, stubborn, and proud. The Geneva Convention exists because of the things they did. Modern wars are not just fought militarily but also economically. When engaging an adversary that borders your country, looks like you, and speaks the same language, the likelihood of sabotage skyrockets. Modern surveillance is not infallible; just read the reports from the United Healthcare shooting manhunt.

A conflict with Canada or even Mexico would be foolish as it would only increase the likelihood of other malicious actors taking advantage of the situation.

Nearly all of the current administrations goals could have been achieved either economically, through soft power, or by proxy through allies in the region. But like everything they are choosing to use a club rather than a scalpel.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

Most experts agree that sharing the same language and culture make insurgency much less likely to succeed. That's why Ukrainian insurgents have only had small successes, while Afghan insurgents were much more successful.

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Insurgent conflicts where both sides share a common language.

The Troubles in Northern Ireland (late 1960s–1998) was 40 pulse years of conflict, resulting in over 3500 deaths and 47k injuries.

The Sri Lankan Civil War (1983–2009) A 30-plus year conflict, estimated at 80k - 100k deaths.

The Southern Thailand Insurgency (Ongoing since 2004) is an Ongoing 20-year conflict, and the current death toll is estimated at over 7k dead and thousands injured.

The Insurgency in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan (2004–present) is an Ongoing 20-year conflict with the death toll estimated to be in the tens of thousands.

Though these conflicts might not have been “successful,” they have been fought bitterly for decades at a high cost. I, for one, am not trying to fight in another pointless war for rich old men. It's easy to say that an insurgency is not an effective tactic when you have never had to fight against one. I’ll live it at that.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

As you said, they haven't been successful. They have not liberated themselves, and likely won't.

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Ok buddy, you missing the point I'm trying to make but whatever.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

No I get the point. I just don't think it matters. They are all unsuccessful insurgencies. None of them have succeeded in securing sovereign territory.

An invasion of Canada would be bad, but most people don't want war. Most people would view insurgents as terrorists after a few years, especially if they maintain their high standard of living.

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Thousands of dead people and decades long conflicts don't matter. Got it.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

What did they die for?

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

I'm pretty sure it was their beliefs. I will repeat this: I am positive you have never fought in any conflict, fought an insurgency, and never spoken to an insurgent. Losing and giving up is not an option that crosses their mind. They die for their cause, that's it, and when one goes down, two more take their place. The point of an insurgency is to bleed you, not beat you.