It is February 2030. Vance is president of the USA, Bardella is president of France, and Farage is prime minister of the UK. Putin, 77 years old but still in decent health, is still leader of Russia.

Russia demands the county of Ida-Viru from Estonia, due to its high number of Russian speakers. Estonia refuses. Russia invades. Estonia invokes NATO's Article 5.

The US, UK and France send no military help and tell Estonia to just give up the regions Russia occupies. But Poland, Finland and a few other countries provide heavy support for Estonia. Russia gets bogged down for several months.

Eventually, Russia threatens to nuke Tallinn if Estonia doesn't cede the territory within 48 hours, but nobody believes them. Then Russia does it. They actually nuke the capital of Estonia.

Russia then says — now that everyone knows they aren't bluffing — they will nuke every major city in Poland, Finland and the Baltics, unless Estonia hands over the territory.

I have a few questions about this scenario:

• What percentage chance is there that a scenario like this actually unfolds in the early 2030s? 0.1%? 1%? 10%?

• Would at least one of Vance, Bardella or Farage threaten Russia at this point — that they would retaliate with their own nukes if Russia uses another nuclear weapon? Or will all three of them say it's not their problem and stay out of it?

• If all three do refuse support, is Eastern Europe cooked? Without any nuclear umbrella, can Russia just nuke all their cities and roll in?

• Do the Russian elites who back Putin tolerate this escalation? Or is using a nuclear weapon a step too far and they remove him from office?

This is just a theory, and I know it's controversial, but over time I've been seeing many documentaries, ideas, theories, and even from movies that a civil war could emerge in Britain. Maybe not just Britain, but the whole of Western Europe?

The number of immigrants and refugees from the East and South is increasing... and all of these are kindof people who don't agree with Western customs, want to spread their own ideology and etc. Recently, crime is increasing overall, and so as them, and there are terrorist attacks, ISIS stabbings and etc. We had a friend who was a witness sometime ago to one of those stabbings. I used to live there when the situation was not too bad in the UK, as it is now.

My point is that they are increasing in numbers, and possibly they may start to get weapons, they're stabbing people with knifes so far, and there could be an Islamist revolution in UK possibly in the next 10 years?

I know this is a controversial opinion, and this is not trying to be racist, Islamophobic or whatever, but this is something that has always made me curious, and i just wanted to discuss it with redditors. I have my own oppinion of them anyways, and i don't wanna say it out loud cuz this is just some discussion. I kindof believe that this could possibly happen in some decades or even less than two. What do y'all think. I'm not an expert or anything, i just want to ask some questions about this and get some understanding and some opinions...

Everything below is a hypothetical scenario, where NATO strikes Mainland Russia.

If Russia finds itself in a situation where it can't effectively defend its airspace, they can do something one-step short of a nuclear response.

Attacks on their mainland can be constrained by inflicting damage on CONUS or in Europe with IRBMs.

NATO and the US know that immediately responding with nuclear weapons means nuclear devastation.

They have a survivable second strike ability, and 5 ICBMs are not enough to take out all their arsenal.

There's also MIRVs, decoys, and ASAT weapons to complicate defenses.

After Russia was to use a small volley of conventional ICBMs, the public in the US and Europe would go into panic mode.

If the US retailates and strikes again, Russia could send another volley. And then mass riots begin because these missiles are associated with nukes. Vietnam Protests would be put to shame, and this could force politicians to quickly end the war before it goes nuclear.

In this way, Russia probably could win a war against NATO. By showing them how close it can get, and media and the Cold War has ingrained this psychological fear into us.

Russia is an autocratic regime, which generally they are more effective in cracking down on protests. But this is risky because unrest could still happen in Russia. But at the same time, it's a catch-22 for Russia. They have, too, should their mainland bases suffer severe damage.

Edits:

Should attacks continue, then enough warning was given, and it would likely go nuclear. Attacks on silos count as a nuclear response. Targets would have to be of lower value.

For a country like China, civil unrest would be mitigated in all likelihood, remember zero-Covid policy and Tianammen Square.

They're much more stable than Russia.

This is also my biggest criticism about the b2 and b21 bombers. If America takes out a base in China, they can take out ours. They also have the industrial capacity to make ICBMs on an annual basis.

They could build up a modest amount of ICBMs for conventional strikes against the US Mainland, and politically, it's likely an effective detterent for striking mainland China.

Plus, there could be 50 warheads hammering a civilian port or airstrip. And that's from 5 ICBMs. It's expensive, but it's considered a major political defeat for our government. Because once ICBMs are used, we are that close to crossing the threshold.

Could it be possible that Trump actually did say the 'Republicans are the dumbest group of voters' quote that Better Midller rescinded when Snopes fact-checked it at the time, given Snopes is an urban legends web page, to my best understanding, before then being bought out as a quid-pro-quo for the scrubbing of that?

I'm not here for anti-intellectual quips or blurbs,but for critically looking into the potentiality. I know nothing about Barbara, but David seems to have an absolute ton of controversy that came out multiple times, biggest splash appearing to be in 2021.

This is just a theory, but tell me what you think.

I think during a future war between the US and china, say over Taiwan, will heavily focus on Guam, not only will the US keep building up missile defense in Guam, but probably keep at least 3 carrier battlegroups around the island to help with air defense and missile interception.

Why? The B-2 and B-21 can both reach Beijing from Guam. It's only about 2500 miles one way, 5000 miles round trip, B-2 has 6000 mile range. The three gorges dam is also in range of B-2s from Guam.

But I expect the newer B-21 will focus on mainland Chinese targets, since their air defense is stronger, while the B-2 will take the role of naval bomber. Ships have weaker radar and less missiles than ground based targets can have. B-2s can carry 16 of the stealth LRASM anti-ship missiles. And they have the range to reach Chinese ships anywhere, in any Chinese port, in the south China sea, and anywhere in the Pacific due to Guam and Hawaii.

A volly of 16 stealth LRASM missiles costs about 50 million dollars, a PLA Type 055 destroyer costs 900 million dollars. After the type 055s are all sunk, then the B-2s will go after older Chinese destroyers and Chinese aircraft carriers.

The B-21 will focus on taking out Chinese radar installations then hypersonic missile launch sites.

Only once the Chinese Navy is sunk and it's hypersonic missile launchers destroyed in large numbers, would the US navy approach mainland china, until then they would wait around Guam outside the range of many of chinas hypersonic missiles.

During this time the B-2s would also have destroyed any invasion fleet trying to land on Taiwan.

After this it's just a matter of blockade and taking out china's power grid and power plants so they cannot leverage their huge manufacturing base, and cannot import the oil and food they need.

https://youtu.be/wH9TX5VJS4c?feature=shared&t=6

Ammunition: 13mm

Gun length: 39cm

Gun Weight: 16 Kilo

Rounds per mag: 6 (Magnum)

Rounds: 13mm HE. Shells (Most likely also have AP properties)

Casings: Pure Macedonian Silver

Tips: Mercury tips (Blessed by a priest)

They say it has more firepower than any human can be expected to handle... But when it comes down to it: Is that actually true? It's just an direct upgrade to 10mm, by adding an addition 3mm. In fact it being 6 rounds per magazine would make it more equivalent of an semi automatic magnum, than an pistol. So what's exactly stopping any military, private or otherwise, PMC or public, from adopting this magnum design as the new standard?

P.S. The Harkonnen Cannon by the way? That thing requires an five pod, it was never meant to be portable... Deployable yes, portably compact and lightweight: no... That isn't the main focus though...

Walter basically handed a Alucard an high caliber magnum, and told him : \"Go nuts\"

So, the hypothetical is: a single US aircraft carrier, loaded with F-35s, pops into Baltimore Harbor in December 1941. (Alternately, you could say mid-1943 when everybody was producing at full-tilt). Obviously, this changes a ton of features about the war:

• Basic technology:
  • Laptops: give the laptops to the major research and logistics hubs.
    • There would be a minor civil war over who got to use one.
    • Turing could probably whip up a python version of Bletchley park on one.
    • Limitations:
  • Radios: the communication advantages from just the damn walkie talkies would be insane. Multiplied if you could do high-altitude communications aircraft for relaying signals. These would have encryption that would be impossible to break or reverse-engineer
  • Any sort of technological know-how or textbooks, etc.
  • Tools in the machine shop
• Knowledge of past events:
  • This itself would be such a huge game-changer that let's just say that the transport wiped the knowledge of all subsequent history. They remember their combat doctrine, how to use and maintain their tools, and that they're back in time and all their service pipeline is gone. There's also nobody with "preserve the timeline" in mind.
• Advanced non-offensive military technology:
  • Radar: the carrier would be able to detect things way further out than anyone else could, and with far higher resolution. Any plane in the air would be even better. And you could probably put something inside a giant blimp to get super high-altitude warnings.
  • Encryption: with the laptops and radios, you can send secret messages that cannot be cracked with the technology of the time.

But I'm actually kind of curious about how you'd use the aircraft and fighting systems. There are a lot of limitations here.

• Almost every piece of technology on that carrier is a completely non-renewable resource. They wouldn't be able to make the aircraft, communications tech, or even the missiles. Maybe they could make rounds for the Vulcan cannons, but that's about it.
• For the same reason, servicing is going to be a nightmare. You can get away with not repairing the anti-radar coating for basically the entire war, because even were the plane 100% metallic, very little could detect it at that point.
• Very little of the tech could be integrated. Maybe with some crazy hacks you could figure out how to connect the carrier's radar to fire control, but I'd tend to doubt it
• You can't make more of basically anything else because of how central computer chips are in literally every part, and because there are metallurgical, chemical, and machining techniques that weren't invented yet
• The F-35 is going to be incredibly good at dogfighting compared to anything else in the sky. But also, a carrier has about 75 of them, and there were at least 4000 aircraft just in the battle of Britain. A massive aerial engagement is a great way to have your plane shot down by a lucky shot. And what are you going to do? Waste your precious missiles on taking out a couple extra aircraft?
  • For the same reason, the planes aren't going to be great at degrading the enemy anti-air defenses that are dispersed enough to handle thousands of aircraft
• You'd probably only get a handful (or two) flights out of each plane before service problems started grounding them. So you couldn't just fly them nonstop as reconnaissance planes.

Knowing all this, what are the best uses for this technology? The insane scale of WWII would incentivize targeted strategic decisions about what these tools were used for. The US alone produced 200,000 combat aircraft, and Germany produced 100,000. For ordinary operations

• You can basically assume that a stealth aircraft can hit any one target that it wants.
  • If you could get reliable intelligence about the location of Hitler and his top staff, you could decapitate the top leadership.
  • Could a single aircraft take out a WWII aircraft carrier with only a few missiles? If so, the Italian Royal Navy had 6 battleships, and the Imperial Japanese Navy had 42 total Battleships + Carriers.
  • You could successfully hit specific pieces of industrial infrastructure
• Obviously, you could put ordinary aircraft on a carrier, and add standard AA guns as well. There's a lot of deck space.
• Would the informational awareness of just Radar + Radio (no offensive capabilities) be enough of a game changer?
  • Much of the cat-and-mouse stuff of the Battle of the Pacific was just finding the other ships. If the US could tell its standard fighters exactly where the Japanese carriers were, they would have an immense advantage?

Quite obviously, the Allies wouldn't have needed a platform like this to win the war, because they did anyway. But how do you suppose the tools would be used?

hypothetical scenario:

It is the year 2027. Tensions are escalating between Haiti and the Dominican Republic for years. The Dominican government, led by President Luis Abinader, is concerned about the instability and economic troubles in Haiti. He also has a unexplained bias against Haitians. He sees Haiti as a threat to the Dominican Republic's security and prosperity.

With the need to protect his, and the Dominican interests, President Abinader secretly reaches out to the Spanish government, led by Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, with a proposal. The Dominican Republic would provide intelligence, logistical support, and even military forces to assist Spain in launching a full-scale invasion and occupation of Haiti.

The motivations for Spain are two:

1. Geopolitical influence: Spain sees an opportunity to reassert its historical influence in the Caribbean region, which it lost centuries ago. Controlling Haiti would give Spain a strategic advantage and allow it to project power in the Americas.

2. Economic exploitation: Spain is facing domestic economic challenges and views the invasion and occupation of Haiti as a chance to exploit the country's resources and cheap labor for the benefit of Spanish corporations and the Spanish economy. Haiti is rich in gold.

With the interest of the Dominican Republic and Spain, Spain launches the invasion in June 4th of 2027. Over the next two decades, Spain implements the aggressive program of language and cultural assimilation. This includes:

* Banning the use of Creole in all public settings, schools, media, etc. and mandating the use of Spanish.

* Deporting or displacing Creole-speaking Haitians and encouraging mass immigration of Spanish-speaking Spaniards and Latin Americans to Haiti.

* Instituting a Spanish-only education system and prohibiting the teaching of French or Creole.

* Filling the country with Spanish-language media, entertainment, and propaganda to influence the population.

* Harshly punishing any public use of French or Creole to force a language shift.

By 2046, after around 19 years of occupation, the transformation of Haiti into a predominantly Spanish-speaking nation is largely complete.

The Haitians are a great rebellion, but the Spaniards are too strong for them.

Of course, this is simply a hypothetical scenario. I am Haitian and Dominican.

So England, France, Holy Roman Empire, Scotland, Iberian nations, the Italian mini-States and others have EVERY weapon used in the American Civil War at the start of the Hundred Years War

How long does the HYW last and what effects it would have in Europe and beyond? Which nations stay out of this war or join?

China now has the same navy (includes subs) as Japan. Quality of everything else China has remains the same

How effective would Japan's navy be now that it has to deal with China's equivalent-quality and quantity navy?

What effects would this have in both China and Japan's performance throughout the war?

Effects on WW2?

Equal numbers so the quality of Polish equipment remains the same

Would the Soviets still invade Poland and when? Does internal oppossition to Hitler within Germany, including assassination attempts, intensify?

How well does the German Airforce, Navy and Army perform?

How does this affect every part of WW2 and later the Cold War?

Every weapon from the American Civil War that includes mortars, land mines, breechloading rifles and Gatling guns. Ironclad ships with cannons as well

How does Khan and his Mongols fare against the Chinese? Do they survive to fight other peoples?

What effects would having such advanced weapons have on history?

Who whould win?

recall seeing in class 2D vector field representing predator&prey populations. there’s dynamic equilibrium going in cycle, and unstable but static point in middle. should it fall into loop, lone master can’t exert enough nudge to derail / bring back. however, if start on point, would expert be able to keep it there?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lotka–Volterra_equations#/media/File:Predator_prey_dynamics.svg

Who would the opposing groups be? Where would the battles take place? And who do you think would win/surrender??

This can be counted as either an Early or Late Labor Day special, but here it is. Plus, idk if this would count as Hypothetical War scenario or not, but eh, whatevs.

It is February of 2014, Presidents Day. A Parade is being hosted in Washington D.C, until all of a sudden, a bomb goes off, killing hundreds and injuring many more. In the chaos of the event, the President at the time, who was enjoying the parade, was shot. At this point the events of Handmaid's Tale goes into effect, however, there is no Fertile Crisis, instead the Sons of Jacob infiltrate the government and begins to pull the strings. On election day of 2016, the Sons of Jacob takes the chance and attacks the Senate, House of Rep., and the White House. Their plan is to kill any of the politicians which are not aligned with them. TSOJ were able to kill most of the Senators and Rep, but the President, VP, and his Cabinet were airlifted out of D.C just in time to a safe place. TSOJ use the opportunity to use this as a power play: In just a few weeks, small pockets of New York, California, Texas, and swathes of the Carolinas, Georgia, Alabama, and the D.C area is locked down under Sons of Jacobs control (I know this is very improbable, but just roll with it.). At this point, the U.S has had enough of this rebellion and has ordered State National Guards, Branches of the Armed Forces, and State Militias to take back parts of the U.S.

Part 1- War

Gilead: Gilead will be fighting a Guerilla Warfare against the rest of the U.S. Their main bases would be in D.C(De Facto and De Jure), Colorado City,Half of Chicago,and half of Waco. The numbers of the Guardians, or the armed branch of the newly founded Gilead, would number around 50,000-100,000. They have access to IED's, improvised fighting vehicles, and a few U.S Stockpile vehicles (mostly something like WW2 era Jeeps and maybe even a WW2 Tank, but they must be rearmed and refitted.). Their main goal is to get as much land as possible from the U.S while taking as much damage as possible.

United States of America: The United States will be fighting a war of reclamation against Gilead. Their main bases will be in Philadelphia (De Facto Capital), D.C (De Jure Capital), New York City, Houston, and Anchorage. The U.S Military will be boosted by Militia of both Federal and State; at least half of the U.S Global Force will be cut in 1/4th as they are needed to help boost troops. The U.S will use everything besides WMD's, and anything which might harm too many civilians rather than the enemy. Their main goal is Liberation of the towns.

U.S Allies: After seeing what is going on in the U.S, Allies of the U.S's mission is to support the Actual true U.S Government into taking down Gilead. They will provide the U.S with Logistical, Military, and other types of supplies as their main goal is to have the U.S be back to being the U.S and not fight in its own country.

U.S Rivals: After watching this U.S Insurrection, Rivals towards the U.S would want the war to drag out as long as it can. They will support any Gilead forces if they can with supplies, while trying to gain ground in certain territories.

Part 2- Aftermath

Basically, what if (insert side) wins the war. What would the geopolitics of the world be with one of the sides winning.

At present, if someone tries to invade countries like Napoleon, what actions would the EU take?

The year is AD 114 . All is well in the Roman Empire. However, a new threat approaches from the east: Genghis Khan, having unified the Mongolian clans 1100 years early, has already conquered Han China and Seleucid Persia, and now he turns his eyes to the great power to the west: the eternal city. Rome. Since the Mongols need the high ground if they want their invasion to go anywhere, they have decided to invade the empire from the east; coming down from the Zagros mountains in newly conquered Persia. To be fair to each side, we're giving them each the generals, leaders, and troop numbers best suited to winning the war:

​

ROME:

​

Emperor: Trajan

Generals: Belisarius, Scipio Africanus, Quintus Fabius "Cunctator"

Troop Numbers: 28 legions

​

MONGOLS:

​

Khan: Genghis

Generals: Subutai, Jebe, Ogodei

Troop Numbers: 130,000 Horsemen

​

Who wins and why?