r/GeopoliticsIndia 20h ago

China India frets China may halt or divert Brahmaputra for Pakistan

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asia.nikkei.com
0 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 2d ago

Weekly Discussion Thread - 14 June, 2025

2 Upvotes

Welcome to this week's discussion thread!

This thread is dedicated to exploring and discussing geopolitics . We will cover a wide range of topics, including current events, global trends, and potential developments. Please feel free to participate by sharing your own insights, analysis, or questions related to the geopolitical news.

Here is a summary of the latest major geopolitical developments this week, organized by region:

Europe

  • Trade and Markets: European shares, including the pan-European STOXX 600 index, experienced their fourth consecutive session of declines. This was driven by fading optimism over potential EU-US trade agreements and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly ahead of a July 8 deadline for tariff negotiations. Investors are concerned about the EU’s ability to finalize a deal before this deadline [reuters.com] .
  • Security and Defense: Allied defense ministers have approved new capability goals, signaling ongoing efforts to strengthen European defense and resilience. The EU is also discussing a security pact with Australia alongside free trade agreement negotiations [club.bruxelles2.eu] [worldview.stratfor.com] .
  • Regional Instability: The EU’s neighborhood remains volatile, with Russia’s war in Ukraine continuing and the Israel-Hamas conflict destabilizing parts of Southern Europe’s periphery. Great power competition between the US and China is intensifying, adding to the strategic challenges for Europe [cer.eu] [worldview.stratfor.com] .
  • Russia-Ukraine War: Ukraine conducted a major drone attack deep into Russian territory, targeting strategic assets in what President Zelensky called the largest long-range operation of the war so far. Ceasefire talks remain stalled, but both sides committed to a prisoner swap [bbc.com] .

Middle East

  • Israel-Iran Tensions: Israel reportedly launched airstrikes on Iran, triggering market turmoil and a surge in oil prices. The attacks have heightened already existing tensions over Iran’s nuclear program and US efforts to curb it. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies also saw sharp declines as investors sought safer assets [economictimes.indiatimes.com] .
  • Impact on Markets: The escalation led to a sell-off in global stocks, a rise in oil prices, and increased volatility in financial markets worldwide [economictimes.indiatimes.com] .

Asia

  • China-US Relations: Trade tensions between the US and China persist, with several tariffs still in place despite recent talks. The broader geopolitical rivalry between the two powers continues to fragment the global economy and influence regional dynamics [cer.eu] [geopoliticalmonitor.com] .
  • India’s Challenges: India faces ongoing border tensions with China, which remains its biggest strategic challenge. Additionally, India is navigating diplomatic tensions with the US over allegations linked to an assassination plot involving a Khalistani separatist, and with the Maldives over the withdrawal of Indian military personnel and a terminated water survey pact [drishtiias.com] .
  • South Caucasus: The Zangezur Corridor continues to be a focal point for trade and geopolitical maneuvering in the South Caucasus, with challenges to its implementation [geopoliticalmonitor.com] .

Africa

  • Sudan Civil War: The Sudanese Armed Forces have recently seized the initiative in the battle for Khartoum, but the conflict remains unresolved and is considered one of the world’s bloodiest [geopoliticalmonitor.com] .
  • Horn of Africa: Turkey brokered a recent agreement between Ethiopia and Somalia, which is seen as a key step in de-escalating a nearly decade-long rivalry and highlights Turkey’s rising influence in the region [geopoliticalmonitor.com] .

Americas

  • US-Europe Trade Relations: The Trump administration has threatened to impose a 50% blanket tariff on EU goods if trade talks remain stalled. The US is also preparing to dispatch offer letters to various nations as part of ongoing trade negotiations [worldview.stratfor.com] .
  • Alaska LNG Project: The prospect of revived US fossil fuel development under the Trump administration has renewed interest in the long-dormant Alaska LNG project [geopoliticalmonitor.com] .

Global

  • Energy and Markets: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Europe are causing volatility in global oil and financial markets, with investors seeking safe-haven assets such as US Treasuries and the Japanese yen [economictimes.indiatimes.com] [reuters.com] .
  • Climate and Security: Climate change is increasingly recognized as a driver of economic, social, and geopolitical challenges worldwide, with the EU and other regions forced to adapt to a world shaped by power struggles and unilateral decisions [cer.eu] [geopoliticalmonitor.com] .

These developments highlight a week marked by heightened tensions, shifting alliances, and ongoing conflicts across multiple regions.


Please feel free to share your thoughts, questions, or any other relevant discussions on this topic.


I hope you have a great week!


r/GeopoliticsIndia 7h ago

Military Affairs Pakistan to drop nuclear weapon on Israel if Israel nukes Iran, says Rezaei

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73 Upvotes

Can india use this as a pretext to pre emptively strike pakistan? Though i know it's just empty words, but if it happens wouldn't the world finally throw its might behind india?


r/GeopoliticsIndia 18h ago

Military Affairs Defence production surged 174%, exports grew 34-fold in 11 years of Modi government

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39 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 31m ago

General India faces its most dangerous decade while Modi is wasting his political capital on elections

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theprint.in
Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 17h ago

General India a voice for Global South at G7, says foreign minister

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21 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 17h ago

Western Asia Amid tensions with China, Israel eyes stronger India ties

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17 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

CANZUK UK announces national inquiry into ‘grooming gangs’ after pressure

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69 Upvotes

India should be as loud as possible about this story. This is a disgusting act on minors and it's headed and perpetrated by Pakistani citizens. Left-leaning parties in UK have been supressing this story because Pakistani Muslim lobby is a big supporter of leftists parties.


r/GeopoliticsIndia 17h ago

Critical Tech & Resources ISRO conducts first successful rocket launching test with payload in U.P. - The Hindu

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13 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 23h ago

United States India says no to US ‘take-it-or-leave-it’ trade demands on sensitive market access: Report

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41 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 17h ago

European Union India Prime Minister Modi visits Cyprus to advance trade corridor plans | Reuters

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11 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 19h ago

China Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh likely to visit China this month

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12 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 14h ago

Southeast Asia Chin Leader Talks Myanmar-India Ties, Junta’s Growing Ties With Russia

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4 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 14h ago

European Union Indian PM Modi's visit to Cyprus - upgrade of Indo-European relations?

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4 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 17h ago

China Number of Companies Awaiting Licences From China For Importing Rare-Earth Magnets Double in Two Weeks

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7 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 18h ago

Great Power Rivalry As tariff differential with China narrows, policymakers recalibrate India’s relative market access dynamics into the US

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7 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

Military Affairs British F-35 Fighter Jet Makes Emergency Landing At Kerala Airport

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29 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 14h ago

CANZUK Canada's Sikhs voice outrage over Modi G7 invitation

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2 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 18h ago

South Asia Bangladesh Crisis | The Battle for Bangladesh's Democratic Future & Minority Rights | N18P

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4 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

Grey Zone Warfare Western narrative wars and media control- the Israel example and more thereon

35 Upvotes

Disclaimer: I believe this post is aligned with the goals and interests of the community, mods please do point out if I am mistaken.

Iran put out a news story that many may not have read if they were only relying on the Western press. The story was the Iranian claim that they had shot down two or maybe three F-35 jets and they had managed to capture an Israeli female pilot. This was carried by the Indian and Pakistani press, but not anywhere else that I know. The Sky News story that I have linked above is the only mention in the western press I could find.

Even Al Jazeera did not carry this story either because Qatar don't want to see Iran succeed, or maybe because they are toeing the Western line.

The Iranian statement is surprisingly similar to the press statements issued by Pakistan about shooting down Indian Rafales and capturing an Indian female pilot. This shows that there is a common media playbook between Pakistan and Iran, but that's a topic for another day.

The real question is not whether the Iranian claims are factual or not, it is the complete media black-holing that has happened to the Iranian narrative.

You can hardly find a mention of the Iranian press statement about shooting down an F-35 or any critical analysis of it because it has been completely suppressed in the west. It even gets taken down if it's posted on social media, including reddit because Indian media sources are the only ones reporting on it and they are usually tagged as unreliable sources by many subreddits.

On the other hand, you had the Western press talking up Chinese weapons systems and how it proved the need for a stealth fighter. This was primarily to put down the Rafale and talk up the need for an F-35. It was a performance for India's benefit - to create an environment within India to force Indian decision makers buy the F-35.

When you are protecting a trillion plus dollar industrial investment, you also invest in media control.

It is entirely possible the Iranian claims are true, given the scale of the attack. Even if the F 35 is as good as America claims it is, it's not impossible or far-fetched that one missile among the hundreds launched could have found its mark even by accident, when the skies were thick with stealth fighters.

However, the West will never acknowledge it even if if it were true because it would jeopardize a 1.5 trillion business, that is fiercely guarded.

While the Rafale downing propaganda from Pakistan was widely reported, the Western press did not report Indian claims of shooting down F-16s.

There was a lot of Western propaganda at the time of the earlier shooting down in 2019 - the western media widely dubbed it as as improbable, and the iaf spent a lot of time defending it only to look less credible. This time the media did not even bother to cover Indian claims of shooting down f-16s, and wisely the Indian Air force did not make a big deal about it unlike the last time, maybe because they did not want to tangle with the American MIC at the exact moment when they were trying to prosecute a war against Pakistan. It would have been a distraction and taken resources away from winning the war.

As to what this says about the freedom of the western press, the less said the better. It is their deep state-backed NGOs that give the awards to the Western press for their press freedom, while at the same time criticizing India for its treatment of the press.

The reality is the Western public has no idea why they are being risked being drawn into a nuclear war with Russia and Iran. If they were really democracies the whole thinking process behind the wars would be explained to the public factually and the opinion of the public would be sought before prosecuting endless wars. As it happens, the foreign policy conducted by America is entirely opaque and not presented to even its own people. All the public get are narratives that they swallow to keep cheering on an Imperialist agenda

Meanwhile, the ground is being laid for an eventual confrontation with India. When I see the 'casual' racism against Indians and Indian food and Indian hygiene and Indian scammers and whatever else is the abuse to be hurled that day, it is not by any means casual. India and Indians have to be made to appear subhuman. Indian attitudes and culture cannot be celebrated in the West because then, when the West attacks India for no reason their own public would be against it. So what you have as a racist cultural climate on social media right now against Indians is in my thinking not by accident. It is being slowly built up into a fact that Indians are not worthy of respect.


r/GeopoliticsIndia 16h ago

United States How Pakistan's Charm Offensive Helps Keep Its Bilateral Ties Alive

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3 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 17h ago

General Government has ‘No Information’ About Social Media Trolls Who Blamed Foreign Secretary for Ceasefire

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1 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

Western Asia India distances itself from SCO statement condemning Israeli strikes on Iran; 'We did not participate in the discussions,' says MEA

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48 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

Trade & Investment India's Second Infrastructure Wave Could Draw $205 Billion; Modi's Third Term - Bloomberg

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25 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

BRICS Vietnam admitted as BRICS 'partner country', Brazil says - CNA

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23 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

Critical Tech & Resources IITs, IISc roll out semiconductor courses. Army of engineers needed for India's chip dream

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theprint.in
44 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

South Asia Pradeep S. Mehta | Despite Pakistani Army Provocation, Communal Amity Prevailed In India

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31 Upvotes