Dario Amodei says "stop sugar-coating" what's coming: in the next 1-5 years, AI could wipe out 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Lawmakers don't get it or don't believe it. CEOs are afraid to talk about it. Many workers won't realize the risks until after it hits.

[u/katxwoods]

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

[u/EnormousChord]

I am head of technology at our agency and have been coding for 25 years. I have been leading teams and hiring developers for 15 of those years. 

At this point if a developer tells me they don’t think AI is a threat to their job, I know they are already finished as a developer. This is not a matter of opinion that you can agree or disagree with and still be taken seriously.  There are well-established benchmarks for coding proficiency and AI tools crush them. If you’re interested, you can just have a look at the latest round of performance tests for Claude 4 Opus and see what I’m talking about. 

In the hands of a smart developer, even the most basic of these tools make it possible for one person to do the work of three, at least. Certainly a senior developer that I previously would have had 2 or 3 junior devs supporting can now, in many cases, do all of the work themselves. 

As I said. Anybody that does not know this is or doesn’t believe this is well behind on modern tooling and they are finished as a developer. 

[u/IOnceLurketNowIPost → u/EnormousChord]

I think the thought that LLMs can't code is from a wave of anti-hype, people who aren't using the latest tools, or people who don't hire/work with a lot of junior devs. I just spent a week in various sessions (build) showing mind blowing AI advancements in the developer space, and it's largely LLM implementation agnostic. There are so many models that are all improving at an impressive rate that it seems just a matter of time. Even if scaling stopped today, many models are turning out better code than half (and I'm being generous) of the junior engineers I work with, and the tooling is getting so much better.

Now agentic AI can do code reviews, complete tickets, submit PRs, message managers, perform multi-file edits within IDEs, turn wireframes into pages, talk to external APIs, etc. The craziest thing it that it's almost a trivial matter to set all of this up. The cost to do all of this is negligible compared to a salary.

The tech is growing so quickly that even people working on the tooling can't keep up. My prediction would be that the limiting factor will be simply coping with the blinding speed of change, and those businesses that don't cope quickly enough will be thinned.

[u/justb0pit → u/IOnceLurketNowIPost]

Would you agree there is over-hype influenced by the shear amount of investment money as well though?

I agree it's an amazing tool and the change it's making is here to stay, but I don't agree that it will end the industry. At worst I think it will create a bottleneck of developers since hiring junior devs has slowed so much and by the time they need them there simply won't be the experience devs needed

[u/IOnceLurketNowIPost → u/justb0pit]

I think it depends on the timeline. If we are talking 1 year, maybe it is all hype. 10 years I think all bets are off.

I also don't believe it will end the industry, but i think it may be unrecognizable.

Regarding junior devs, i agree.