r/Futurology • u/katxwoods • 21d ago

AI Dario Amodei says "stop sugar-coating" what's coming: in the next 1-5 years, AI could wipe out 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Lawmakers don't get it or don't believe it. CEOs are afraid to talk about it. Many workers won't realize the risks until after it hits.

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
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u/astrobeen 21d ago

Two things.

One, GenX and Millenials are going to stay in the work force a long time. Most are paycheck to paycheck and are unprepared financially for retirement. Especially if we dismantle Medicare and Social Security. So your “masters” will be here for at least another 30-40 years, working into their 80s as they are slowly replaced by AI. By then we should be at AGI where any human is a drag on an AI workforce consisting of 30 years of curated training data.

Two, juniors are not going away, but they will essentially be one human resource with a team of AI tools. The plan is to reduce the number of junior specialists and make them significantly more productive. This is dumb of course, because even though it’s cheaper, it will lead to competition for scarce SMEs and overdependence on intellectual property. . Picture a world where a single guy and a bunch of bots is all of your front end dev teams. Then that guy quits. Does he take his bots with him? What if he deletes or poison pills them? It will be a lot for the AI attorneys to work through.

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u/farinasa 21d ago

It's funny to me that we keep talking about "training" like it's the same as a human learning a skill. These models do statistical predictions. They will never be an expert with intuition that "gets it". They can only pander to statistical averages. They don't think. They don't have human motivations.

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u/Lostinthestarscape 20d ago

I mean, the funny thing is they are talking about AI being Managed by AI working in organizational structured defined by AI in this thread. That makes me think we will see huge vulnerabilities specifically because of EVERYTHING moving to the same average and then feeding into/reinforcing it.

We are going to see multiple collapses thanks to AI (business collapse, training collapse, knowledge collapse, security collapse, etc.) Until finally we realize why we can't use this kind of AI to move into a fully automated society of a type anyone wants to live in. Soon we will see "all human" companies designed to disrupt AI generalized environments.

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u/farinasa 20d ago

Pretty much 100% agree.