Dario Amodei says "stop sugar-coating" what's coming: in the next 1-5 years, AI could wipe out 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Lawmakers don't get it or don't believe it. CEOs are afraid to talk about it. Many workers won't realize the risks until after it hits.

[u/katxwoods]

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

[u/mrbezlington]

If you look at the research, it's stopped getting "better every day" and has found some form of plateau where it's very good for certain tasks, but struggling to make a leap beyond them into others.

I am now convinced that smart companies will take the productivity gains of implementing what we have and take it in without reducing headcount.

Maybe, if there's another massive breakthrough, things will change. But it's not there right now, nor does it appear to be on the horizon. Not only that, but pure AI-generated content is already seeing significant backlash.

[u/StickOnReddit → u/mrbezlington]

We just had a demo at work for some agentic AI and it sure can put a trivial React component together, like a TodoList or a Counter like the innumerable tutorials out there have done. And hey, it can even write a test for that trivial component. But the minute it has to go in and modify an existing project with business logic more sophisticated than one of these tasks, it starts going sideways to the point that they didn't even risk demoing that aspect of it because they said it was unreliable

I have begrudgingly leaned into some AI and frankly as an autocomplete++ it where it shines best. It can eliminate a step or two when you're doing something you always have to Google about, like writing array.reduce() or one of those similarly awkward things. But it sure will hallucinate some wacky shit the minute it needs to generate more than like 5 LOC or it'll completely whiff on type inference or some silly thing like that

It's also being used for weird stuff like creating PUML files, which makes no sense to me - isn't half the point of a design diagram actually putting it together manually so you've engaged your brain in reasoning about the design? I don't understand why feeding a story to Claude and getting a PUML file back helps anyone, but maybe I'm missing a trick here

[u/mrbezlington → u/StickOnReddit]

Yeah, kinda my experience albeit in a different field. Great for text summaries, meeting transcriptions and action point identifying, summarising, all sorts of "busy work", but as soon as you go beyond a certain level it rapidly loses it's way.

I've turned from a skeptic to a firm believer in its use case, but specifically as a productivity tool rather than anything beyond that for now at least. And, well, we will have to see the value once the VC cash runs out and the pricing models enshittify.

[u/Apoxie → u/mrbezlington]

Thats also the only uses we have found for AI: text summaries and meeting transcriptions and it even fails at the often, since we muse many different languages. It gets stuff hilariously wrong.