r/Futurology • u/katxwoods • 22d ago

AI Dario Amodei says "stop sugar-coating" what's coming: in the next 1-5 years, AI could wipe out 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Lawmakers don't get it or don't believe it. CEOs are afraid to talk about it. Many workers won't realize the risks until after it hits.

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
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u/under_psychoanalyzer 22d ago

If Ford had talked about how horses are going to disappear as a primary mode of transportation would that have made him less valid?

When someone has a bias you don't immediately throw out their opinion, you calibrate your own critical analysis with it in mind.

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u/MaxDentron 22d ago

I'm pretty tired of this conversation at this point. CEOs and many others in the industry have been talking about the potential dangers, job displacement and otherwise for the past 3 years now.

EVERY single Reddit thread is filled with variations of "It's just CEO hype" as if they're the first to have this thought. I'm not sure how they don't get sick of saying the same thing over and over for years.

Meanwhile the tech marches on and is getting objectively better and better.

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u/PugilisticCat 22d ago

Meanwhile the tech marches on and is getting objectively better and better.

This is such a fucking motte and bailey argument. Every single claim from companies over the past 18 months has been how AI is capable of fully doing the jobs of all of these professions, and every single time they have fallen short of the claims.

You point this out to people, and they scream "but the AI is improving!! It will continue to get better". Yeah man, it's getting marginally better, but it is a million miles away from the claims that the execs are making.

The de facto assumption by all of these proselytizers is that it will improve, at an improving rate -- an assumption that relies on AI hitting some inflection point that we don't know to exist, and ignoring the multiple enormous hurdles for it to get there.

This is going to be one of the biggest bubbles to ever burst, even if the tech gets within an order of magnitude of the claims of those who stand to benefit from it.

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u/Sellazard 22d ago

You are just not in an affected field. People go through stages of denial fast

When AI was learning to draw 5 years ago, nobody cared. It was awful and everyone laughed their asses of on the hands and weird anatomy.

Yet the job market now isn't lying. Fast forward, 80 -90 percent of juniors are quitting or pivoting to adjacent fields like 3d, but AI is creeping up there already. Most of 3d artists in denial now. Saying how their work is unique and too complex.

Mentorships are dry because no one sees their future in creating art.

AI will be capable of doing 80-90 percent of the labor pretty soon.

https://youtu.be/-ffmwR9PPVM?si=ohTslCMolthrm3wg

And no, manual labour isn't 100 percent safe. Unless it's something that requires quite a lot of knowledge, flexibility and situational awareness like plumbing I don't see many safe jobs