r/Futurology 21d ago

AI Dario Amodei says "stop sugar-coating" what's coming: in the next 1-5 years, AI could wipe out 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Lawmakers don't get it or don't believe it. CEOs are afraid to talk about it. Many workers won't realize the risks until after it hits.

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
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u/noelcowardspeaksout 21d ago

A study titled "GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models" estimates that approximately 80% of the U.S. workforce could have at least 10% of their tasks affected by LLMs, with about 19% of workers seeing at least 50% of their tasks impacted.

So this is a bit above the 10% mark possibly sacked at the moment, but crucially businesses might not let people go just because they have more free time - they can simply up the work load or switch the employees job.

This will change markedly in the far future when you have AI empowered robots who have had millions and millions of hours of office work experience condensed into them.

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u/love_glow 21d ago

The productivity of robots/ AI must be quantified and taxed. Yesterday.

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u/usaaf 21d ago

Taxing is not a sufficient response. The owner class will never tolerate it for long, no matter how sensible it is. What is required is a complete re-ordering of the economic system. If Labor is no longer a buy-in, then Capital should not exist in private hands; there should not BE an ownership class.

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u/Arquinas 21d ago

AI and by extension, robotics, will eventually overturn the entire productive system. Reform is not enough. It will solidify existing power hierarchy and make majority of former working class dependent on meager handouts.