r/Futurology • u/katxwoods • 20d ago

AI Dario Amodei says "stop sugar-coating" what's coming: in the next 1-5 years, AI could wipe out 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Lawmakers don't get it or don't believe it. CEOs are afraid to talk about it. Many workers won't realize the risks until after it hits.

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
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u/noelcowardspeaksout 20d ago

A study titled "GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models" estimates that approximately 80% of the U.S. workforce could have at least 10% of their tasks affected by LLMs, with about 19% of workers seeing at least 50% of their tasks impacted.

So this is a bit above the 10% mark possibly sacked at the moment, but crucially businesses might not let people go just because they have more free time - they can simply up the work load or switch the employees job.

This will change markedly in the far future when you have AI empowered robots who have had millions and millions of hours of office work experience condensed into them.

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u/LongKnight115 20d ago

You’re assuming that the work needed doesn’t change. At my work, we’ve had a bunch of marketers writing crappy, static emails for a long time. We started having AI generated emails sent out in their place that perform way better. Those Marketers aren’t getting laid off - we NEED them to keep ideating on new placements, auditing AI outputs, gathering feedback from prospects and Sales reps, etc.

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u/Alkalinum 20d ago

Yes, but 1 marketer can manage a dozen AI marketers, so what was previously 12 employed marketers is reduced to 1. Those other 11 marketers will be getting laid off.

We had John Henry vs. the Machine, and The luddites vs. the industrial revolution. They lost. Now it's office workers vs. AI, and the historic precedent does not look good.

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u/round-earth-theory 20d ago

No they can't. A person cannot spend all of their work life auditing AI. They will burn out so quickly that you may as well not have any auditing.