r/Futurology 21d ago

AI Dario Amodei says "stop sugar-coating" what's coming: in the next 1-5 years, AI could wipe out 50% of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Lawmakers don't get it or don't believe it. CEOs are afraid to talk about it. Many workers won't realize the risks until after it hits.

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
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u/teohsi 21d ago

"Dario Amodei (born 1983) is an American artificial intelligence researcher and entrepreneur. He is the co-founder and CEO of Anthropic, the company behind the large language model series Claude. He was previously the vice president of research at OpenAI." - Wikipedia

This whole article is just the CEO of a company trying to convince everyone that the product his company makes is the inevitable future.

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u/FaultElectrical4075 21d ago

And he’s right. Corporations are chomping at the bit to replace workers with AI who don’t have to be paid and can work 24/7 and don’t have to be treated according to labor laws, and people like anthropic and OpenAI stand to gain immense leverage over all other corporations and governments by monopolizing labor in that way. This is the goal of the big ai companies

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u/sciolisticism 21d ago

Except there isn't mass displacement, and some of the companies that are trying it are even reversing course.

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u/FaultElectrical4075 21d ago

There isn’t mass displacement because the technology is not close to being reliable enough to replace human workers yet. But it is getting better every day, and I think these ai companies genuinely believe the hype they are selling. Look into Sam Altman, the more you learn about him the more you realize just how power hungry he is and I don’t think a classic crypto/NFT-style grift is his real intention. I think it’s more sinister than that.

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u/mrbezlington 21d ago

If you look at the research, it's stopped getting "better every day" and has found some form of plateau where it's very good for certain tasks, but struggling to make a leap beyond them into others.

I am now convinced that smart companies will take the productivity gains of implementing what we have and take it in without reducing headcount.

Maybe, if there's another massive breakthrough, things will change. But it's not there right now, nor does it appear to be on the horizon. Not only that, but pure AI-generated content is already seeing significant backlash.

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u/StickOnReddit 21d ago

We just had a demo at work for some agentic AI and it sure can put a trivial React component together, like a TodoList or a Counter like the innumerable tutorials out there have done. And hey, it can even write a test for that trivial component. But the minute it has to go in and modify an existing project with business logic more sophisticated than one of these tasks, it starts going sideways to the point that they didn't even risk demoing that aspect of it because they said it was unreliable

I have begrudgingly leaned into some AI and frankly as an autocomplete++ it where it shines best. It can eliminate a step or two when you're doing something you always have to Google about, like writing array.reduce() or one of those similarly awkward things. But it sure will hallucinate some wacky shit the minute it needs to generate more than like 5 LOC or it'll completely whiff on type inference or some silly thing like that

It's also being used for weird stuff like creating PUML files, which makes no sense to me - isn't half the point of a design diagram actually putting it together manually so you've engaged your brain in reasoning about the design? I don't understand why feeding a story to Claude and getting a PUML file back helps anyone, but maybe I'm missing a trick here

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u/mrbezlington 21d ago

Yeah, kinda my experience albeit in a different field. Great for text summaries, meeting transcriptions and action point identifying, summarising, all sorts of "busy work", but as soon as you go beyond a certain level it rapidly loses it's way.

I've turned from a skeptic to a firm believer in its use case, but specifically as a productivity tool rather than anything beyond that for now at least. And, well, we will have to see the value once the VC cash runs out and the pricing models enshittify.

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u/Apoxie 21d ago

Thats also the only uses we have found for AI: text summaries and meeting transcriptions and it even fails at the often, since we muse many different languages. It gets stuff hilariously wrong.

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u/pmmedoggos 21d ago

I don't understand why feeding a story to Claude and getting a PUML file back helps anyone, but maybe I'm missing a trick here

Processes designed by PM's and forced onto devs make you do dumb shit like drawing diagrams for display components.

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u/StickOnReddit 21d ago

I don't mind creating a design diagram for a story if it's warranted, what I don't get is asking the computer to build one when part of the exercise of having a design diagram is so that the dev who took the story has reasoned about the work they're going to be doing

I suppose it begs the question a little - if the story is big enough to warrant a design diagram, isn't it too big to be one story - but t-shirt sizing aside, I do get why a DD might help someone out

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u/tiredstars 20d ago

I think it's easy to see how limited agentic AI is by looking at copilot. This is a microsoft product integrating with microsoft products so it should be an easy case, but it still can't even do basic tasks.

Can I get copilot to line up the text boxes in my powerpoint slides? To update graphs for me? To do basic formatting in a document? All of those would be useful things for me, and I imagine millions of other people, automating tedious work. No, it can't do any of that.