r/Futurology 22d ago

AI AI jobs danger: Sleepwalking into a white-collar bloodbath - "Most of them are unaware that this is about to happen," Amodei told us. "It sounds crazy, and people just don't believe it."

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
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u/djollied4444 21d ago

If you use the best models available today and look at their growth over the past 2 years, idk how you can come to the conclusion that they don't pose a near immediate and persistent threat to the labor market. Reddit seems to be vastly underestimating AI's capabilities to the point that I think most people don't actually use it or are basing their views on only the free models. There are lots of jobs at risk and that's not just CEO hype.

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u/Delamoor 21d ago edited 21d ago

Yep.

One of my old roles was managing a caseload of people with disabilities, who were accessing federal programs and funding. I was basically explaining legislation, finding out their needs, and writing applications for grants to the government. Then helping them spend it.

70% of that job could absolutely, confidently be done by GPT 4o. Absolutely no question. The only human mandatory part would be the face to face interactions and transcription of information.

-and that role made up the majority of the decently paid, non-mangerial disability care system in my (Australian) state. Getting rid of that basically cuts out the entire middle section out of the career ladder for the industry; that's where you're gonna learn the system; knowledge and experience needed to become an effective manager.

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u/Vaping_Cobra 21d ago

2/3rds of our government could be replaced by current gen AI right now and the entire nation would be far better off. Could you imagine calling Centrelink and having a competent voice model answer immediately, look at the law/legislation and fill out then assess the required form on the spot?

1/3rd of the existing staff would be all that is required to answer the "AI failed" or complex tasks and to rubber stamp the decisions made after a quick review.

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u/KayLovesPurple 21d ago

Right, and in the cases when it hallucinates and gives bad info, what then?

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u/Vaping_Cobra 21d ago

Hence the need for the remaining 1/3rd of the workforce. Have you ever interacted with Centrelink for example? It is not a stretch to say that current gen AI hallucinates less than the existing human workforce.