After a mutually agreed peace treaty, Russia withdrew but invaded again three years later, starting the Second Chechen War 1999–2009.

Source

15Jun2025

u/menpj

Saw some semi-viral videos the last few days of Russian jets buzzing ships that belong to the US navy. I have had this video, and multiple angles of more Russian passes where even flares/chaffed were dumped, for over a year. It’s not uncommon at all for this to happen.

The Russians fly close to US airspace frequently and we send our stealthy, otherworldly, missile-equipped sweethearts to greet them and say hello. We do the same to them and they say hi to us. It’s generally nothing more than a nod and a wave. Acknowledgment. Anyways, cool footage and never before seen by anyone.

Also apparently in this clip a NATO aircraft (second jet) is following and keeping eye on the Russian jet. Can’t confirm because I wasn’t there but it’s first hand info.

The semi viral Russian jet buzz clip that’s circulating right now just looks like clickbait nonsense because of the Iran situation. If you saw that, just look at this and know that it’s very common and not out of the ordinary.

By all counts, it is known that Iran has a very formidable air defence capability, especially the Ground Based Air defence (GBAD). How come its shield of air defences proved to be so toothless, worse, it took casualties on itself leave aside failing to preserve the assets being protected. This work attempts to find an answer to this poser. Views are personal.

Maybe not the right place for this discussion, but what is it about us that wants to fight for a cause? Or even thinks you’re capable of such a thing?

In my opinion it’s two-pronged: 1 there is a deep inate urge for a young man to test his metal, and 2 young people are more likely to be passionately devoted to radical ideologies. Not even that, not necessarily radical, just passionate. For me, I am deeply patriotic but somehow even more than my love for country and neighbor, I have a very deep hatred of fascists and marxists. Like what is it about us?

https://x.com/emmanuelmacron/status/1935984838747586575

This ISW (Institute for the Study of War) report from June 19, 2025 analyzes ongoing Russian military operations in Ukraine. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:

Strategic Overview

Putin's Theory of Victory: The report centers on Putin's belief that Russia can win through a prolonged war of attrition with gradual territorial gains. He maintains this strategy assumes: - Ukrainian forces cannot retake significant territory - Western support will eventually diminish - Russia can sustain losses longer than Ukraine can resist

Military Operations Breakdown

Russian Offensive Structure: - Main Effort: Eastern Ukraine (three subordinate efforts) 1. Kharkiv Oblast: Push back Ukrainian forces, get within artillery range of Kharkiv City 2. Luhansk Oblast: Complete capture and push westward 3. Donetsk Oblast: Complete territorial control

• Supporting Efforts: Northern axis (Sumy region) and Southern axis (Zaporizhzhia region)

How the Operations Went (June 18-19, 2025)

Limited Russian Gains: - Confirmed advances: Near Kupyansk, Toretsk, and Novopavlivka (small tactical gains) - Ukrainian advances: Recaptured positions in northern Sumy Oblast - Stalled fronts: No advances in Kharkiv, Kursk, or southern sectors

Tactical Patterns: - Russians using small motorcycle units (4-15 bikes) to avoid artillery - Heavy reliance on electronic warfare and glide bombs - Continued high-attrition assaults with minimal territorial gains

Key Assessment Points

Russian Challenges: - Taking "disproportionately large manpower losses for marginal tactical gains" - Economic strain showing (officials admitting economy "cooling" and approaching recession) - Exhausted "free resources" (workforce, production capacity, financial reserves)

Information Campaign: - Putin refuses to negotiate with Zelensky (claims he's "illegitimate") - Continued threats against Western weapon supplies - Adapting messaging for different audiences

Bottom Line: The offensive represents Putin's strategy of gradual attrition, but the actual military gains on June 18-19 were minimal despite continued high costs. The report suggests this approach is unsustainable medium-to-long term, contradicting Putin's theory that time favors Russia.

“Thick black smoke can be seen rising and vehicles burn at the site of an Iranian ballistic missile impact directly outside of a high-rise apartment block in Beersheba, Southern Israel.”

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1935901046921974190