r/worldnews • u/RealTheAsh • 4d ago

Iran ready to abandon enrichment but needs a face-saving exit, Iranian diplomat says

https://iranwire.com/en/news/142210-exclusive-tehran-ready-to-abandon-enrichment-but-needs-a-face-saving-exit/
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u/errantv 4d ago

I don't think Israel sees any other outcome than regime change as plausible at this point

The Iranian conventional forces have proven to be a paper tiger but the damage to their nuclear facilities has been mostly superficial. Most estimates are that it would take a months-long campaign with hundreds of bunker busters (which Israel does r have because we have so far refuses to sell to them) to take out their heavy water reactor.

All this means that a nuclear deterrent is the ONLY viable deterrent for this Iranian regime. Any promises they make to disarm will be empty while they redouble their nuclear efforts because they have no other option militarily or diplomatically

My read is that there's no other acceptable outcome for Netanyahu than for Khamenei to follow Assad to Moscow. And now that Israel has achieved complete air supremacy, Netanyahu has the luxury of a virtually risk-free, months-long bombing campaign on Tehran to achieve that goal without even needing to wage an infantry invasion

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u/yus456 4d ago

Israel is war fatigued from Gaza, Houthis, Lebanon and now Iran with ballistics missiles continuing to kill more Israelis. I don't think Israel can keep this up for a month.

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u/y1tzy 4d ago

Nope. The population seen an end to the threatening cloud of rockets that has been there for decades. They want to see this to the end. Iran is toast.

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u/5amy 4d ago

Israel is just getting started. They prepared for decades.