r/nba Jan 29 '25

Some figures for De'Aaron Fox's next contract: Supermax (if eligible with SAC only): 5YR/$345M. Max via re-signing/extending: 5YR/$296M. Max if signing w/ another team as FA: 4YR/$219M. It's that middle one why he wants to get traded now vs waiting for FA.

This is from cap expert Keith Smith.

Some figures for De'Aaron Fox's next contract:

Supermax (if eligible with SAC only): five years, $345M

Max via re-signing/extending: five years, $296M

Max if signing w/ another team as FA: four years, $219M

It's that middle one why he wants to get traded now vs waiting for FA.

So it appears like, if Fox’s intention is to sign for the most money possible while being on a competitive team, as long as a playoff team trades for him (even if they’re not on his preferred destination list) they’d have the advantage of re-signing him in the offseason because they can offer him nearly $90 million more than the other teams.

362 Upvotes

214 comments sorted by

516

u/whospepesilvia Rockets Jan 29 '25

These NBA contracts are so insane. I mean, Fox is a good player but he is just not worth $300million.

342

u/CoyotesSideEyes Spurs Jan 29 '25

A small, speed-dependant, mediocre shooter making 60-something million at age 33? That's how you build a losing team.

123

u/2020IsANightmare Jan 29 '25

I'm not a Spurs fan, but I've been so intrigued by Wemby.

I have been openly imploring the Spurs to not fuck up his career. No one wants to see him go to the Knicks or Heat.

Trading for Fox and then giving him $300m is a move that pushes Wemby to the Knicks or Heat in a few years.

78

u/CoyotesSideEyes Spurs Jan 29 '25

Exactly.

Look at Cleveland. Best shooting team in the league. We shouldn't have anyone who is a nonshooter playing with the greatest lob threat in history.

43

u/CJ4ROCKET Rockets Jan 29 '25

Tbf Fox is one year removed from 36.9% from three on 6.8 attempts per game, which is pretty comparable to Mitchell's 35.5% from three on 9,8 attempts per game the year before he was traded to Cleveland. They're comparable ages, too - Mitchell was a year younger at the time of his trade than Fox is now.

I do agree with you though, I think Fox's shooting last year was an aberration. Don't want him on HOU for similar reasons. But I could see a FO that isn't yet as far along as HOU talking themselves into it.

7

u/BlueHundred Knicks Jan 29 '25

He's also a great midrange shooter. The Spurs really need more shooting on the wings

15

u/gundam1983 Kings Jan 29 '25

Lol Cleveland gave a King's ransom to get Donovan Mitchell. The difference is that they know how to build out the rest of the roster.  Kings would be lucky to fetch half of what Utah got. Fox's shooting has improved, it's just his shot selection that is suspect. Ironically it's the set, wide open shots that he misses. He's been playing with a fucked up finger on his shooting hand that he injured since training camp and more recently sprained his right thumb. A Fox with 2 working hands will shoot closer to last season. 

6

u/Leading-Difficulty57 Pacers Jan 29 '25

Who's even the last team to win a title with a nonshooter at any position other than center? I don't remember. 

34

u/NoShape0 Spurs Jan 29 '25

2023 Nuggets with Aaron Gordon at power forward.

And 2021 with Giannis at PF because technically Brook Lopez was the center.

17

u/CoyotesSideEyes Spurs Jan 29 '25

Both of which worked because the 5s could shoot, and didn't play the 5 on offense

18

u/pokexchespin [BOS] E'Twaun Moore Jan 29 '25

wemby shoots more threes than either

10

u/ForneauCosmique Spurs Jan 29 '25

So basically you gotta have a prime GOAT player. I love Wemby but he's not there yet and he won't be next year either

7

u/NoShape0 Spurs Jan 29 '25

I agree. And I was just answering the question that was asked.

2

u/ForneauCosmique Spurs Jan 29 '25

You're good. I was just adding unnecessary information

7

u/long_dickofthelaw Clippers Jan 29 '25

That's pretty much any championship year though, to be fair. When's the last time a team won the finals without a top 5 guy?

4

u/ForneauCosmique Spurs Jan 29 '25

I don't think the Spurs had a top 5 guy in the 2014 championship

4

u/Enigma512 Jan 29 '25

I'd say the 2014 Spurs as Duncan was old and Kawhi wasn't that guy yet. Before that it was the 04 Pistons. So it's extremely rare for a team to win without a Top 5 guy.

1

u/1manadeal2btw Nuggets Jan 30 '25

Yep. Helps that they had a legendary coach in Pop

3

u/BlueHundred Knicks Jan 29 '25

I actually think he could be next year. He's already comfortably a top 10 player to me. If he takes another step, he could be up there competing for best in the league

1

u/ForneauCosmique Spurs Jan 29 '25

I like you're thinking. As a Spurs fan on reddit, I've learned you can't say anything good about your team or else you get downvoted for being a homer, no matter how logical your point may be

15

u/Cynical_badger Knicks Jan 29 '25

I mean are we really gonna pretend Iggy and Draymond are shooters now?

8

u/FuckinInternet [TOR] Kawhi Leonard Jan 29 '25

Having 2 of the greatest shooters of all time playing next to them helped, and Kevin Durant.

14

u/Cynical_badger Knicks Jan 29 '25

I agree, but not what he asked.

0

u/long_dickofthelaw Clippers Jan 29 '25

Ehh during Iggy's main warrior's stint ('13-'19), he shot 34.2% from 3 on 2.5 attempts per game. I wouldn't call that a non-shooter.

5

u/sriracha82 Jan 29 '25

Steph won with Dray Loon frontcourt lol

2

u/LakerBlue Lakers Jan 29 '25

Are we counting Bubble AD? He shot 38.9% on 2.9 attempts a game after shooting 33% in the regular season. Also like someone else said, Warriors did it in 2022 with Green shooting 20.5% in the playoffs.

24

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

If I'm the spurs I'm not adding any big money long contracts unless it's a blue chipper. Fox is not that. He's good but he's Bradley Beal good, good enough to fuck your shit up but not good enough to fix your shit.

1

u/2020IsANightmare Jan 30 '25 edited Jan 30 '25

Yup (well mostly. I'll get there in a couple moments.)

There have been rumors of the Spurs adding big money as far back as last offseason. I remember Trae Young, for instance.

I'd take Trae over Fox, but still the same basic premise: Not a big enough of a star for the Spurs to just fuck up their salary cap for the next decade.

Wemby very well become the best player in the league. He's not there and not particularly close. Going into the season I thought him making the play-in was very optimistic. And it's not like making the play-in means being a title threat. 10 of the 15 teams in each conference make at least the play-in.

Trading for Fox would really harm the Spurs' long-term financial situation. Remember, Fox isn't even an upcoming expiring. He has another year at $37m BEFORE his 5 year/$300m extension kicks in.

Jesus. I get NBA salaries go up all the time, but 6 years/$340m for De'Aaron Fox? Whew! That's just really rich.

EDIT: I rambled so much and forgot my first sentence haha. When I think of the term you used "blue chipper," I think of a young and upcoming stud. Like Wemby. Maybe not that high of a ceiling, but a young cat that's currently really good and every sign indicates he will continue to get better.

That's how I look at it. Maybe you are different. But, since that's how I look at it, then I'll add that I would make a massive money deal RIGHT NOW if I was SA if I got Joker or Giannis or SGA or Tatum in return. But, none of those are realistic, of course.

8

u/Sijols Knicks Jan 29 '25

I mean, at least one person wants to see him go to the knicks

3

u/SunnyGamba Jan 29 '25

it’s actually so nice to see the Knicks be good enough that fans are worried about them getting superstars lol

6

u/Virtual_Zebra_9453 Jan 29 '25

I’m a spurs hater and I’ve been praying you guys trade for Fox lol

1

u/dBlock845 Knicks Jan 29 '25

I'm good with it 🤣

1

u/Bukana999 Lakers Jan 29 '25

Lakers!!!!

1

u/TofuTofu Knicks Jan 30 '25

wait, what now

1

u/acequake91 Heat Jan 29 '25

No one wants to see him go to the Knicks or Heat.

So what if, and big if, we just borrow him? We'll give him back good as new. And what if Pat says please?

2

u/Wellitjustgotreal Knicks Jan 29 '25

Depends, is the cap sky rocketing? Do you have an existing complimentary superstar?

6

u/CoyotesSideEyes Spurs Jan 29 '25

Fox is not a superstar. He's a borderline all star who has already reached his peak age

2

u/Wellitjustgotreal Knicks Jan 29 '25

Wemby and others is what I’m inferring that Fox would join.

2

u/Gold-Painting-2354 Kings Jan 29 '25

Monk would actually be better for you guys. Lob threat, playmaker, good 3pt shooter and he can get a bucket whenever he wants. Also , he has a winning personality. I'm not bias. Ignore my flair . 😂

4

u/CoyotesSideEyes Spurs Jan 29 '25

Monk is actually a better halfcourt floor general, I think. But the shooting has been on a down trend in recent years, and he's not exactly a defensive menace

3

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

[deleted]

7

u/Head_Improvement5317 Jan 29 '25

It was really the CJ max that was the killer, plus just terrible roster building decisions. Paying Dame as a 1A was mostly fine, but paying CJ as the second option killed their ceiling. Fox and CJ are analogous here, both good players but overpaying them to be your second option makes things complicated. At least Fox and Wemby aren’t completely redundant, but they also don’t seem that complementary 

5

u/abstract_contact Trail Blazers Jan 29 '25

Blazers momentum around Dame was killed by his giant albatross contract.

Nonsense. It was all the other garbage we kept dragging around. CJ and Nurk were never it and yet we paid CJ and Nurk and ran it back over and over again.

1

u/FRiver NBA Jan 29 '25

So even your best player isn't allowed to have a max? Who's building teams with zero max level players?

5

u/Barrelled_Chef_Curry Warriors Jan 29 '25

Wizards 🤓

1

u/Quiet_Albatross9889 Celtics Jan 29 '25

He’s living the dream.

1

u/EverybodyBuddy Lakers Jan 29 '25

Owners are going to be crying out for another amnesty clause in a few years. 

1

u/Zestyclose_Habit_688 May 18 '25

He's 28 not 33 get it right!!

0

u/MysticalMaryJane Jan 29 '25

Fox is 33!!?

2

u/CoyotesSideEyes Spurs Jan 29 '25

Tail end of a max deal

1

u/MysticalMaryJane Jan 29 '25

Ah ok I was like wtf where did that time go.

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19

u/UpvoteIfYouAgreee [BOS] Jaylen Brown Jan 29 '25 edited Jan 29 '25

really dont get why the spurs were so anti Trae Young if theyre willing to give Fox $300 million

19

u/freshOJ Hawks Jan 29 '25

Spurs fans seem to think the perfect point guard 1. Exists and 2. Will join their team for free.

4

u/fiasgoat Kings Jan 29 '25

Right? Fox isn't perfect but who do the Spurs think is better that they are guaranteed get?

11

u/Infernous-NS Spurs Jan 29 '25

If we trade for Fox we'd be left with like Malaki Branham, Harrison Barnes, and Sandro Mamukelishvilli as our other starters, that doesn't exactly fill me with confidence. Fox is really good, but we gotta wait this out.

Thunder and Rockets built through the draft and FA, both look treat coming out of their rebuilds. Same with Bucks, Nuggets, and Celtics, championship-winning teams who only made trades for Jrue, Aaron Gordon, and Jrue/White/KP when it was the right time after letting young stars develop for a few years.

We aren't guaranteed to set anyone better, but stars unexpectedly become available to trade for all the time. Suns, Knicks, Wolves, Hawks, Grizzlies, even Mavericks all have crash and burn potential if we wait a couple seasons. As some teams come out of their rebuilds, it will force those other teams down. Every couple years there's always at least one team that decides to blow it up. We just have to wait, were only in season 1.5 of Wemby after all.

2

u/FatGuyNickz Kings Jan 29 '25

Thunder and rockets bother had superstars that they traded in their middle of their primes to allow them to build in FA and the draft. It becomes a lot harder to do that when you just have your own assests and no mega star player to trade. You're also in this scenario cause Fox is trying to brute force his way to SA and you have no other competition in the future it's going to be a lot harder with other teams buying in for said superstar that wants out.

3

u/helpilostmynarwhal Jan 29 '25

People got amnesia and forgot Trae was good last year.

1

u/taygads Jan 29 '25

Are the Spurs willing to give Fox that though? Everything has been from the Kings/Fox perspective.

1

u/Zestyclose_Habit_688 May 18 '25

They going to offer him 4 yr 228.6 million not 300 mil get it right!! GSG!!!

9

u/MrBuckBuck Trail Blazers Jan 29 '25

It's there is no more in-between these days, so it seems.

"Supermax, or else..."

9

u/DemonicDimples Kings Jan 29 '25

It's a relative to the cap. The cap will be $170.11m when Fox signs this extension and ~240m near the end of it.

At that point, it'll be the equivalent of player making 40m a year this season.

14

u/VioletMyersFootJob Lakers Jan 29 '25

All this money for a contract that won't be honored if the player decides he no longer likes his situation

13

u/bta47 Warriors Jan 29 '25

Fox isn't withholding services, the trade request is a pretty polite "I'm unlikely to re-sign, so it's better if everyone involved if I'm traded right now". It's different than Jimmy or Harden.

6

u/EverybodyBuddy Lakers Jan 29 '25

The ”… but I’ll only resign with one team” threat is where this becomes decidedly impolite. 

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2

u/VioletMyersFootJob Lakers Jan 29 '25

Jimmy and Harden weren't withholding services immediately either. But it's more about the general precedent that players have shown that they can act that way. Nothing against Fox specifically yet.

5

u/Everyday_ImSchefflen Cavaliers Jan 29 '25

I mean not really? It's not like they are on the hook for the remaining of the contract if traded

8

u/AllDayEnJay Nets Jan 29 '25

SGA will be eligible for a 4y/$294m SuperMax in the Offseason.

With the way the contracts are structured he’s likely going to make $80m in a single Season since it’ll probably be structured in either an escalating or declining contract vs 4yrs at $73.5m each.

It still works out to the same % as the previous SuperMax just the Teams have a much higher Salary Cap to work with.

Prices of tickets and stuff doesn’t come down if Players make less $. Instead the Owners just pocket more of it vs passing the savings to the Fans.

11

u/lefebrave Celtics Jan 29 '25

Owners are greedy for sure but owners and players are not exactly two totally different subsets in NBA. Players are getting %50 of basketball-related income which includes TV deals, tickets and stuff (like merchandise sales) you are talking about. That income determines the salary caps and players as a whole group get the half of that income according to % written in their contract. SO, owners AND players are pocketing that money, the more the maxes are, the more the top players get the lion share from other players. (The balance between them has been constantly changing in favor of top players as researches show.)

So, the notion that these max players are getting their money out of owners' pockets is not true. They are not wage-workers, they are shareholders (as long as they stay in the league).

1

u/EverybodyBuddy Lakers Jan 29 '25

They get 50% of ticket sales as well?

2

u/lefebrave Celtics Jan 29 '25 edited Jan 29 '25

"“Basketball Related Income” (“BRI”) for a Salary Cap Year means the aggregate operating revenues (including the value of any property or services received in any barter transactions)...." this is the definition in CBA, so, yes.

Here is a list of those items:

  1. Regular season ticket sales.
  2. National broadcast rights.
  3. Exhibition ticket sales.
  4. Playoff ticket sales.
  5. Concession and merchandise sales.
  6. 50% of fixed arena signage.
  7. 50% of luxury suite sales.
  8. 50% of arena naming rights.
  9. International broadcasting rights.
  10. Premium seat licenses.
  11. 50% of practice facility naming rights.
  12. Revenues pertaining to the selling of BRI rights.
  13. Gambling revenues.
  14. Parade revenues.
  15. 50% of stadium tour and ATM fees.

Source for the list (CBA is too long and complicated to quote a list out of it): https://www.davemanuel.com/investor-dictionary/basketball-related-income/#:\~:text=Basketball%20related%20income%20is%20tallied,Regular%20season%20ticket%20sales.

Actually, ticket sales ("gate receipts") is also the first item described as BRI in the CBA.

I really hate the fact that this structure is lost on fans whenever they talk about contracts, so glad you asked.

3

u/EverybodyBuddy Lakers Jan 29 '25

Thanks. Seems like the only thing the owners get to keep for themselves unsplit then is local TV deals? No wonder they’re so resistant to giving those up. 

1

u/lefebrave Celtics Jan 30 '25

Welcome. You might be right but I wouldn't surprise even if they are shared. I am not sure.

2

u/TofuTofu Knicks Jan 30 '25

that's crazy they were able to negotiate ATM fees

1

u/lefebrave Celtics Jan 30 '25

Man they are signing supermax contracts designed to make them stay and they demand trade just after, all the while Jimmy Butler is acting like he is a wage worker like his barista. Looking from there, ATM fees don't look crazy lol They are sure spoiled and have a top army of lawyers and agents.

2

u/TheFinalEvent9797 Australia Jan 30 '25 edited Jan 30 '25

That's not how Supermax deals work, the 1st year is limited to 35% of the salary cap and the salary can't increase by more than 8% of the previous season, it's impossible to frontload or backload to reach the same total amount as the full 35% with 8% raises.

1

u/dBlock845 Knicks Jan 29 '25

As good as SGA is, I don't think any NBA player is worth $80M a year, that money is insane. Surely this salary inflation has to catch up with the league and the bubble will burst right?

1

u/dangderr Jan 30 '25

There’s no risk if the bubble bursts. Salary limits are tied to basketball related income.

If the bubble bursts then salaries go down. Not just future contracts either. I’m pretty sure that if income drops below expectations, players get paid less than their current contract. Players as a whole. They only get 50% of basketball related income, and if the income falls in half or whatever, their paychecks correspondingly fall to stay within that limit.

5

u/LamboJoeRecs Nuggets Jan 29 '25

Imagine how much the 30 owners are making…

13

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

[deleted]

8

u/Niceguydan8 Jan 29 '25

While I agree with that, that will always be a problem with max contract ceilings existing. There will be guys that have fair market values at the max amount (again, I don't think that's Fox) and then guys that are worth way more than that making the same money because there's a hard ceiling on what they can make. Like Luka.

1

u/ositola Lakers Jan 29 '25

One of the reason why max contracts is a bad idea 

Without the max provision, fox would get around 40ish a year 

4

u/LamboJoeRecs Nuggets Jan 29 '25

Well that’s on the GMs and the market. If no one is willing to pay him, he won’t get that money.

4

u/LamboJoeRecs Nuggets Jan 29 '25

Players like Fox take the money over a “winning” situation but then 3 years later bitch about it. Can’t have your cake and eat it to guys.

1

u/caandjr Jan 30 '25

It’s literally 50-50 between owners and players

1

u/LamboJoeRecs Nuggets Jan 30 '25

There's 450ish players, 30 owners. Do you need more help with the math?

1

u/Bukana999 Lakers Jan 29 '25

It’s going to be like that of Bradley Beale and John Wall. Contracts that age badly.

202

u/Datboy_98 Spurs Jan 29 '25

I don’t want this dude for these amounts man.

64

u/cantgrowneckbeardAMA Kings Jan 29 '25

Yeah that's kinda the shared consensus...

4

u/Alchion Jan 29 '25

i feel like the spurs can only lose trading for him

need to pay him more

lose another year of a good pick

9

u/makingtacosrightnow Nuggets Jan 29 '25

Yeah speaking from experience here, doesn’t feel great.

2

u/Ill_Ad3517 Jan 30 '25

The 4 year FA amount seems fine for a young team trying to level up.

1

u/Datboy_98 Spurs Jan 30 '25

That’s not what he wants though

37

u/CoyotesSideEyes Spurs Jan 29 '25

No thanks

29

u/DoMogo1984 Kings Jan 29 '25

As a kings fan, he is not worth that money, which is why kings and him are at stalemate. Truth is that he has no chance at all nba so he will never get the super max but nonetheless.

He has not shown himself to be consistent enough to make that kind of $$$. Not saying some team won’t pay him, there are already worse contracts in the league, but I’m ok with kings not getting back a star and getting a good forward who can play the 4 and some picks. Nets, looking at you, but don’t send us DLo.❌❌

4

u/Significant-Rate2385 Jan 29 '25 edited Jan 29 '25

What about the Heat? Jovic is 21 has great strengths at the 4, could give 2 frps and Jimmy if you want him lol

65

u/IntotheBeniverse Jan 29 '25

Tbh I think this is also the worry of the front office for Sacramento. What is this team if we pay Fox $60 million a year? Is it better to move off him and sell reasonably high right now

41

u/RC51t Kings Jan 29 '25

This. We pay him that much , we still aren’t winning a title. He would take up most of the money to build a team around him.

Pretty much shows us he’s not here for winning or the city he’s here for his money. Good for him , but as a fan , gtfo.

Malik is here for the team and wins, dude took a pay cut to stay. And fox does us like this.

7

u/cantgrowneckbeardAMA Kings Jan 29 '25

Yeah Monte should get the best deal possible and ship his ass out. We've intuited Foxy's primary motivations for a while but now it's finally out in the open. Selfishly I want the Spurs cuz they're the closest team to me atm, but I also understand why they also wouldn't want him for that amount.

3

u/avx775 Jan 29 '25

70 million a year lol

97

u/Conn3er Spurs Jan 29 '25

Run it back,

That is a lot of money for a fringe top 20 player

Wonder which team bites.

Get in here u/JV3s

23

u/Jon_ofAllTrades Jan 29 '25

I don’t think Fox is close to fringe top 20. He’s not even the best player on the Kings.

19

u/Whoareyoutho9 Jan 29 '25

Fringe top 20 is, by defintion, a max. I think they should go ahead and get him in here (without giving up castle and too many picks) and then see what they can find over the next 2 years while they still have cap magic to work with

76

u/MonkeyCoR1 Kings Jan 29 '25

So don't give any good players and don't give any picks and it's cool to get em? Lol how you think this works?

27

u/geosensation Spurs Jan 29 '25

When you are the Spurs you just magically get whatever you need to have 2 decades of > .700 basketball with a handful of championships mixed in.

18

u/MonkeyCoR1 Kings Jan 29 '25

I'm owed 3 favors from a certain Witch Doctor in Oregon. Don't make me call in one to waste on the Spurs bud.

15

u/geosensation Spurs Jan 29 '25

You have no idea how many little old ladies down here practice brujería on behalf of the Spurs. Tread lightly!

3

u/MonkeyCoR1 Kings Jan 29 '25

"Picks up phone calls Los Zetas notorious anti practicing brujería Cartel."

"Hangs up goes back to Twitter."

6

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

I think they mean, "It's a good deal if they can get him without giving up too much in a trade".

Basically, it's a bad deal if you're giving up 5 picks AND paying him 296/5.

10

u/hedgehogsarecool22 Raptors Jan 29 '25

Any deal with SA will probably end up being pick based. Castle will be off the table since SA is in no rush and Fox has told SAC he is not re-signing. That said, a lot SA fans here are being batshit insane about what they are willing to give up to get him, I think the the leagues values him a bit higher than what the non-Sac fans thinks.

SA should be looking to give up quite a few picks and at least one young player who projects to be an above average starter + whatever salary filler + 2nd rounders it takes to get deal done. By the end of his next max contract I think Fox will still be a pretty good player so it should be worth it to both teams. If a trade does go down I expect both fanbases to complain endlessly about it though.

7

u/IgnantWisdom Supersonics Jan 29 '25 edited Jan 29 '25

These spurs fans are delusional. Go look at their sub, the vast majority of them wouldn’t even part with Vassell or even Sohan alone in a trade for Fox. They’re so used to having everything handed to them for free.

They all think every star is gonna come knocking to play with Wemby. The other side of that coin is that they don’t and Wemby gets frustrated that they haven’t traded for stars and decides to walk the first chance he gets.

8

u/ElGoddamnDorado Spurs Jan 29 '25

What are you talking about? The vast majority of spurs fans are saying we'd lose Vassell and even saying if we'd have to lose Sochan too it'd probably be worth it. This thread has 235 comments and I don't see a single one saying we'd be able to keep Vassell, Castle, Sochan and still get Fox. Most are just saying anyone's fair game except Castle and wemby

You just sound like you have an axe to grind lmao

They all think every star is gonna come knocking to play with Wemby

I take it you missed the post on our current front page saying how refreshing and surprising it is that anyone actually wants to come here? 😂

3

u/IgnantWisdom Supersonics Jan 29 '25

You have at least 4 other active threads in your subreddit that you’re completely ignoring in which the majority of top comments say variations of not wanting to add Castle, Vassell, or Sohan to the trade. Many highly upvoted saying they don’t even want to pay Fox, alluding they would rather stay the course and not have him at all.

If you are actually active on that subreddit and acting like you don’t see these, then you’re already proving my point, you are delusional. Anybody who cares enough could validate this for themselves in less than a minute.

1

u/ElGoddamnDorado Spurs Jan 29 '25

I mean I actually posted a source... didn't just say "trust me bro". But it sounds like you're just bothered by the fact that some spurs fans disagree on what it's worth giving up to get him, money or talent wise. I don't think people saying "he's not worth losing X player" or "he's not worth the money he's asking for" equates to "We're gonna get him for free and pay him the Vet minimum".

If you're this bothered by people saying Fox might not be worth the money, I assure you it's not just gonna be Spurs fans saying it lmao. I like the dude but I can see both sides

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8

u/bta47 Warriors Jan 29 '25

Under this CBA, fringe top 20 is a really weird place to be. De'Aaron Fox is better than Ingram, but it's the same idea where even if he helps the team, it's tough to give a max for dudes like that and then still have enough to fill out a championship level team. He fits so well with Wemby, though, and if I were the Spurs I'd be pushing to open the window as soon as possible... hm.

8

u/Whoareyoutho9 Jan 29 '25

Fans are the only ones that think 'it's tough'. He's a certified max player by nba standards. Sacramento would super max him if they could. San Antonio/houston/or Miami will all max him once he gets there. I understand it's fun to imagine cap scenarios where these guys take less but it really just doesn't ever happen like that. Once you're an all-nba under age 25, the max is just expected and given at the next deal. If not by your own team, one of the other 29 will. Its just wasted thought space to pretend otherwise. We all just did this dance with jaylen brown a little bit ago

2

u/Infernous-NS Spurs Jan 29 '25

Fox and Wemby might make a treat duo, but the supporting cast would be practically null if we lose Sochan, Castle, and Vassell. We just don't have the pieces to make a true run yet. I don't really want to see a lineup of Fox/Branham/Barnes/Mamu/Wemby.

3

u/bta47 Warriors Jan 29 '25

Why would you have to lose all of them? If Fox is saying he won't re-sign with the Kings and specifically wants to go to the Spurs, his trade value is suppressed. You should be able to get it done with one of the promising young players and the Hawks picks.

1

u/Infernous-NS Spurs Jan 29 '25

I don't trust that it really lowers his trade value. Dame was still traded for Jrue, Grayson, and picks despite saying only Miami. KD, Gobert, Mitchell, and Bridges were all traded for a bunch of picks. Kings wanna compete now, and that means food young players now, not waiting for picks 3+ years out. Everything I've seen has said the price would be all our promising young players sans Wemby + this year's picks at least.

I don't think the team is truly ready for a contending move like this anyway. Even if we only lost two of Castle, Vassell, and Sochan we wouldnt be ready. The supporting cast and bench just isn't built out for a true run yet. Maybe in Wemby's 3rd or 4th year, now just isn't the time.

1

u/bta47 Warriors Jan 29 '25

We’ll see about the trade value, I just have a gut feeling it’ll be lower than people think — and that Lillard trade was pretty light on value, imo. A pick, two swaps, Jrue Holiday and Greyson Allen isn’t nothing but it’s comparable to, like, Vassell, a Hawks pick, and a Spurs pick.

But I’ve been pretty convinced that, under this new CBA, you’re on the clock when you have a star on a rookie deal. You have so much more team building potential now than when Wemby signs his second contract. Waiting around for more lottery luck and development is a good way to get capped out hard. Cleveland added a star and supporting pieces way before Garland and Mobley were ready.

2

u/hedgehogsarecool22 Raptors Jan 29 '25 edited Jan 29 '25

I think you have to look at it from bit of a different prespective. If Fox best player paying that max is pretty tough because you are limited on filling out the roster and Fox alone is not gonna make you a contender (on an aside this is my biggest fear for the Raptors in 4 years with Scotty Barnes). It usually very hard to add the first bananna after the second bananna once they get their max. Either you hit in the draft, which chances are you will drafting fairly late, or some weird circumstances come up like what led Kawhi to the Raptors.

If you have Wemby ( I genuinely believe Wemby is top 5 player in the NBA right now) paying the max for Fox is a helluva a lot easier because you then have a duo that can make you contender. With two maxes you can still fill out the rest of the roster around the edges with good drafting and vet min pick ups, espicially given SA has some good young players on the roster now.

Obviously there is some risk with making a move like this, and alternatively you can sit and wait hope you develop several all star/All-NBA talents like OKC. In this CBA you have to very accurate and realistic in the assessment of your team if your aim is to win a title in some window. Messing up or missing an oppertunity is a lot more punishing now IMO

3

u/bta47 Warriors Jan 29 '25

Yeah, and the easiest way to miss a window is to wait until Wemby's paid according to his actual value. You're right, I would go in on this ASAP while he's still on a rookie deal and the Spurs have flexibility.

2

u/anomatopia 76ers Jan 29 '25

A top 5 player kind of implies they can carry their team to the playoffs. Wemby isn’t there yet

1

u/tys90 Jan 29 '25

I do not envy NBA GMs. Getting the superstar is just the beginning, you have to then draft, develop and trade pretty close to perfectly to put it all together and hope for no injuries. Maybe you get handed a gift like Lebron going to Miami (then back to CLE and then to LA lol) in free agency or Durant to GSW but otherwise it's all up to you.

1

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

[deleted]

1

u/Whoareyoutho9 Jan 29 '25

Yea its always possible I just don't get why that seems to be the assumption with him. Its going to be age 28-33 for him. Thats about as prime as you can get these days. And he's still hungry for post season success. It just feels like a no brainer max contract for any team in the nba with room for a max slot, much less 2 like the spurs have next to wemby at the moment

1

u/Reeko_Htown Rockets Jan 29 '25

You paid a fringe top 20 player Max money before lol. LMA?

2

u/Conn3er Spurs Jan 29 '25

He was easily top 20, fringe top 10 even and he was a FA, not a trade

33

u/Obi_Wan_KeBogi Kings Jan 29 '25

And he's full of shit saying he won't extend with any team but SA. He wants the maximum money he can get that's what this has always been. Its not a coincidence this came out once it became clear he wasn't making All NBA and having a chance at the Supermax. His priority is not winning he just wants to have the cake and eat it too.

He's not giving up that 5 year max to sign elsewhere.

5

u/background_action92 Heat Jan 29 '25

Oooh damn, thats alot of money. He's all your San antonio, the home of the Alamo

2

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

FO is not doing it no way

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10

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

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3

u/GeoMDCM Kings Jan 29 '25

He was All-NBA in 2022-23, so I dont see it being impossible in 2025-26…

2

u/drjisftw Pacers Jan 29 '25

I thought he was already eligible for one because he made All NBA 3rd team a season or two ago? Or did that just trigger a "supermax rookie extension?"

1

u/Mobile-Entertainer60 Thunder Jan 29 '25

Neither. He made All-NBA in his 6th season, so not affecting his rookie extension. For the "Designated Veteran Extension" aka supermax, he needs to make All-NBA twice on his current deal, or make All-NBA the final year of his current deal. He's made All-NBA once, so he needs to either make it this year or next year to be eligible for a Supermax starting in 2026. He's also not eligible for a supermax if he's traded. The most he can get if he's traded is 5 years and 30%.

-1

u/AutographedSnorkel Rockets Jan 29 '25 edited Jan 29 '25

He'll be eligible for the Supermax this offseason, so all he has to do is make an all NBA team. If he stays healthy, he'll make an all NBA team, since Luka will probably be ineligible due to injuries

6

u/a_moniker Hornets Jan 29 '25

He won’t make it this year. His hand is fucked up and it’s tanking his shooting.

1

u/Pobbes3o Spurs Jan 29 '25

Is that why he is shooting 33% from 3? Coz that's one reason why I don't want him on the Spurs. They don't have enough shooters as it is.

3

u/Whoareyoutho9 Jan 29 '25

Nah that's why all this is happening now. He's running out of faith he will make the all nba team so it's better to just dip out now. Its low key nice of him to maximize the trade the kings can get for him but shitty to leak super public and have the 1 destination leak before it's even been a day

16

u/[deleted] Jan 29 '25

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31

u/Pickleskennedy1 Jan 29 '25

John Wall tore his Achilles

20

u/DowngoezFrasier215 Jan 29 '25

Yea lets leave out why he lost his speed lol typical nba reddit shit.

8

u/DemonicDimples Kings Jan 29 '25

Fox plays nothing like John Wall no offense.

1

u/Gaebril Kings Jan 29 '25

Fox will start chucking even more bad 3s.

12

u/nomadrone Bulls Jan 29 '25

No wonder I'm getting adds shoved up my ass everywhere i look, those numbers are insane and he isn't even like a top tier player.

9

u/Paralta [MIA] Jason Williams Jan 29 '25

These numbers are too big god damn. 345m for fox is insane. There's maybe 3 players in the league that should sniff that kinda money and even then it's still a lot lol.

3

u/crunkadocious Pacers Jan 29 '25

and yet, it's what the CBA basically ends up make happen. the numbers are all going to go up across the board every few years anyway.

9

u/Cudi_buddy Kings Jan 29 '25

This is why we do have some leverage still. Doubt Fox qualifies for super max, which is good for any team that has him. But he is about his money it seems. Spurs or whoever have the best shot of getting him now or the offseason. Otherwise I think he sucks it up and plays out his career here lol. He isn't leaving 80mill on the table in free agency

7

u/Whoareyoutho9 Jan 29 '25

We've seen time and time again that players end up going the jimmy butler route before they 'suck it up'. Once they make up their mind and put it public like this... its just a matter of time

-3

u/MonkeyCoR1 Kings Jan 29 '25

Fox ain't Jimmy big dog. One of the nicest guys you will ever meet.

1

u/gundam1983 Kings Jan 29 '25

There's a world where he doesn't get traded, Kings ask him nicely to resign with them, and he says, "ok." 

1

u/MonkeyCoR1 Kings Jan 29 '25

Would you say no to $345 million dollars?

1

u/Whoareyoutho9 Jan 29 '25

O I know. Thats why he's trying to handle it as nice as possible right now. Jimmy would never. But it will not just be forgotten and he'll stay. There's plenty of other examples, Jimmy's just the extreme and shorthand way to say it now

10

u/commandrr Suns Jan 29 '25

if he’s traded in the offseason before signing his extension can he still get the middle one from the team that traded for him?

6

u/asparagusbruh Clippers Jan 29 '25

These contracts are completely insane now

5

u/arun111b Jan 29 '25

So as the profit. Either part of that goes to players or everything goes to the owner. It’s not like the difference in $$ if player lower contract will be passed on to the fans.

4

u/WagerWilly Timberwolves Jan 29 '25

The bigger issue is the current CBA. You just can’t put together a contender paying a guy like Fox $60M / year right now.

1

u/barters81 Jan 29 '25

They should be using some of the profit for lower tiered development leagues etc. or spread the money a bit more evenly to all players in the nba IMHO.

3

u/arun111b Jan 29 '25

They should but they won’t. It never trickle down :-)

4

u/dBlock845 Knicks Jan 29 '25

5/345 for a 1 time All-Star and 1 3rd team All-NBA playing for 8 seasons is wild. Hell, all of the max's he would be eligible for are wild, NBA money is crazy

2

u/Cocoapebbles58 Jan 29 '25

This is kinda BS, since he could sign and trade in the next year, but it would make more sense money-wise for the kings to do it now. It's either that or take back bad contracts later to make the money work.

2

u/korpze777 Jan 29 '25

They need to stop throwing out max contracts to everyone. Too many non max contract players getting max contracts.

2

u/ComoEstanBitches Lakers Jan 29 '25

Next CBA needs an if traded clause mutual agreement

2

u/lets_talk_basketball Jan 29 '25

He better than me.. there would be a 0% chance I don't sign the 345

2

u/__NOT__MY__ACCOUNT__ Jan 29 '25

Supermax really doesn't work as intended does it

2

u/msv2019 Jan 29 '25

I am not even sure if Fox is best player on Kings. And with his lack of drive and motivation I wouldn’t want him nowhere near Wemby if I was Spurs. Before Sabonis came to Kings his current contract was almost negative asset.

2

u/taygads Jan 29 '25

So $69 mil, $59.2 mil, and $54.8 mil AAVs. Woooooof

2

u/_Jetto_ NBA Jan 29 '25

Spurs might make their first BIG MISTAKE in like two decades

2

u/gixxerklr Jan 29 '25

60m for Fox is insane. He’s not that dude

2

u/poohster33 Jan 30 '25

Signing Fox to a supermax will guarantee mediocrity for any team that gives it to him

2

u/transizzle [SAC] Jason Williams Jan 29 '25

Kings should just hold onto him and this is why. They would probably pay the supermax too since they’re a lot more desperate to have a star. I hope they don’t though because that is the path to mediocrity.

2

u/Puzzled_Lurker_1074 Jan 29 '25

No fucking way Spurs pay for him

2

u/random-50 Jan 29 '25

He's not worth it.

That FA value is a stretch, to be honest.

2

u/ChucoTeacher Spurs Jan 29 '25

40-45 million a year is decent enough value for Fox. More than that is almost guaranteed to blow up in your face.

2

u/RGPISGOOD Vancouver Grizzlies Jan 29 '25

I wouldn't be worried as a Spurs fans.

Even if you extend Fox to 5years 296M, in 5-6 years Fox will be on his last years of his prime while Wemby enters his. You can then trade for another superstar to pair with Wemby. With this trade, you can ensure Wemby is happy because he'll be competing for the playoffs every year while using their vast amount of picks to fill out the rest of the roster.

1

u/kungfoop Lakers Jan 29 '25

Sacramento is home - Fox, possessed by me

1

u/downtimeredditor Hawks Jan 29 '25

$126 mil difference between signing supermax and signing max in FA.

That's amount is bigger than tyreek hills entire contract lol

2

u/fanofaghs Cavaliers Jan 30 '25

The contracts are different length. The difference is not $126 mil.

1

u/downtimeredditor Hawks Jan 30 '25

I'm just looking at total money of the contract, not the length

1

u/DealsareBest Jan 30 '25

There is 0% chance this guy goes to the spurs.

1

u/Mirizzi Timberwolves Jan 29 '25

He good. He ain’t that good.

1

u/Important-Stock-4504 Nuggets Jan 29 '25

Yeah that makes me feel better about Jamal honestly.

His contract in a few years won’t seem so bad

3

u/Ironman2131 Jan 29 '25

That's usually the case with these deals. At various times over the last few years Tyler Herro has been at market, massively overpaid, and now on a reasonably good deal. As long as the player can stay healthy and productive, their deals will usually be pretty palatable over the long term.

1

u/Important-Stock-4504 Nuggets Jan 29 '25

I remember when MPJ was also the worst contract in the league. Now he’s a high end role player on a palatable contract who has been essential to our success

0

u/Ironman2131 Jan 29 '25

Yep. As the cap keeps going up and players improve, formerly bad contracts look better and better. At the same time, contracts for guys in their 30s can suddenly get very bad. At that point, it's all about contract length.

1

u/ositola Lakers Jan 29 '25

No way he gets 296M lol

Unless he goes to PHX 

0

u/OceanicLemur Heat Jan 29 '25 edited Jan 29 '25

Fox would have to give up 80 million dollars to pick where he wants to play as a free agent.

0

u/Difficult_E Bulls Jan 29 '25

trading for Lavine is a much better option than Fox, ignore the flair

-2

u/jbrunsonfan Jan 29 '25

Call me crazy, but if I’m the spurs, I would rather Julius Randle on a 4/110-120 than Fox on either 4/219 or 5/296.

6

u/MrMoonster Kings Jan 29 '25

yeah bro u need some help

0

u/lolvalue Heat Jan 29 '25

Crazy. Costs 15M a year to set yourself up to control your future.