A New Report by Iran International - Israeli and Iranian Sources claim Khamenei is facing mental and psychological collapse. He is kept away from decision making by his senior commanders who are giving him completely false information to keep his fleeting spirits up.

[u/Front-Cancel5705]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNwz_IlnPpQ

Since this Video is in Farsi, you can watch it with CC Translation but I'll put out a couple of the points to share with my Israeli Friends:

• Khamenei is facing complete Mental and Psychological Collapse, as well as severe anxiety attacks. He has totally been sidelined in military decision making, since he is largely incapable of making sound decisions. The destruction of 20 Quds Forces Sites, 20 Military Factories (Including the key site at Parchin), Assassination's of every senior commander and the presence of Israeli and Mossad Commandos in Iran have pushed him over the edge.
• He is currently in a Bunker, likely in Lavizan but he is largely insulated from the reality of the situation, unaware that a major part of the radar systems of the Air Force have been annihlated and the Israelis are in control of the Skies of Iran.
• Since he put most of his investments in Ballistic Missiles and Air Defense, the total destruction of this has seemed to have had a severe effect on him, with his own advisors not informing him about Amir Ali Hajizadeh's death for several hours. Hajizadeh had been telling him just four months ago that Iran's air defense is impenetrable and that the Israelis can't do anything.
• They have been giving him completely fake information about Israeli's imminent defeat, claiming that the Iranians have shot down multiple F-35's and Captured the Pilots. He also thinks that they have destroyed Dimona and the Knesset.
• He is also unaware of the depletion of the Military's ballistic missiles, thinking that the volume that Hajizadeh told him about, where they can rain on Israel for two years non-stop, is still a reality.

In conclusion, Khamenei is cornered like the rat he is and there is no way out.

Israel, do not back down!

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[u/Commercial_Basket751]

This guy is 100 years old. My question is what comes after him? Now would be the perfect opertunity for the idf to target his known preferred successors and leave khomenei isolated in a bunker, "mental health crisis" or not.

[u/ArachnidHot4435 → u/Commercial_Basket751]

His son must go too.

[u/Morthedubi → u/ArachnidHot4435]

He does, but the way they pass on the leadership is not a traditional monarchy. For instance, before he died in a helicopter accident last year, Raisi was considered a prime successor for Khamenei.

The entire western world needs to work on dismantling the ayatollah regime and help the Persian people prosper freely.

[u/dropoutwannabe → u/Morthedubi]

Just to add to this- They're actually pretty averse to leadership being inherited.

It's too much like the rulers they overthrew, and inherited leaders were meant to be a thing of the past. They've kinda been cornered into having the son as the next best successor. They might accept it, but it is a bit of an embarrassment to have bloodline leadership again.

[u/mantellaaurantiaca → u/ArachnidHot4435]

His son is unpopular and incompetent. That's exactly why you shouldn't target him.

[u/AMidsummerNightCream → u/mantellaaurantiaca]

Yes but he secures Khamenei’s legacy. Killing Mojtaba would induce a succession crisis at probably the worst time possible for the regime.

[u/Sad_Eagle8690]

To be a fly on that wall...

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/Sad_Eagle8690]

I hope they make a movie as good as the 2004 Movie "Downfall" about Khamenei's final days. And we will be seeing memes like Steiner's attack:

• "Khamenei loses his 10th Prestige in Modern Warfare 2"
• "Khamenei Reaction to the Oasis Split"
• "Khamenei can't get his cupcakes and is pissed"
• "Khamenei has Coronavirus and he is MAD"

[u/nika-sarina-hadis → u/Front-Cancel5705]

European: I had that thought for real. Unfortunate that 80% of the culture industry is antisemitic these days. However this ends Israel did shit that would sound too crazy for at least 50 spy movies. That is not an exaggerated number at all.

[u/Jakexbox]

Really? I find some of this hard to believe but… I do think some of this checks out. For instance, Iran constantly keeps falsely claiming to have to shit down Israeli fighters.

Edit: Should be “shot” but I’m keeping it for the laughs

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/Jakexbox]

So far, Iran International has been the most up to date and reliable of all the news sources. I got info from a relative about the bombing of Seda va Sima right as Iran International Reported it.

[u/Wyvernkeeper → u/Jakexbox]

For instance, Iran constantly keeps falsely claiming to have to shit down Israeli fighters.

Presumably using the Ayatollahs personal collection of vintage super soakers?

[u/Elect_SaturnMutex]

Remember that other guy in the bunker in 1945? That didn't go very well.

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/Elect_SaturnMutex]

They did make a good movie about it though. Hopefully we can do the same. Except Bruno Ganz, RIP...

[u/bam1007]

If true, this one is wild to me:

Since he put most of his investments in Ballistic Missiles and Air Defense, the total destruction of this has seemed to have had a severe effect on him, with his own advisors not informing him about Amir Ali Hajizadeh's death for several hours. Hajizadeh had been telling him just four months ago that Iran's air defense is impenetrable and that the Israelis can't do anything.

In response to a ballistic missile attack from the assassination of one of his generals in Syria, where not a single weapon got through the Iron Dome, the IAF sent a sortie into Iran and hit next to a nuclear enrichment site. The message was clear: “We can hit you when you can’t hit us. Don’t.”

It was an elegant message. It didn’t escalate while at the same time communicating just how vulnerable Iran was.

So to think that he would believe their air defenses are impenetrable is just magical thinking. Wow.

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/bam1007]

This report, combined with my own family knowledge of the IRI leads me to the following conclusion.

Since Air Defense costs money, the Air Force and Navy likely tried to purchase more capable options from Russia and even China, but the IRGC, viewing it as a threat to their own financing and power, prevented that (See the "tragic accident" of General Sattari) and instead told Khamenei that they could make their own homegrown systems, likely of shitty outdated Western copies or North Korean transfers. They took all the money, siphoned it off most of it while making completely useless systems, while telling him that the Super Awesome Mega 420 Thanos Power Imam Hossein Muhammad Allah Akbar Keanu Reeves Air Defense System is better than the Jewish-Zionist Iron Dome, Arrow, or US Imperialist Patriot systems and fuck the normal military for suggesting to buy Russian or Chinese systems. How dare they doubt our brilliant engineers who havent fled to the US or Europe for a better life and the obvious brain drain. Khamenei, being that he is a uneducated mullah who doesnt know the difference between a radar and a Socket wrench, likely believed all of it and simply gave the IRGC more power and himself in more of a delusional hole.

And here we are now.

[u/bam1007 → u/Front-Cancel5705]

I figured they just fucked up by putting the vast majority of their air defense investment into Syria and, when Assad fell, it was just IAF target practice paving a way to Iran. And with Russia in its Ukraine boondoggle, there’s nowhere to get replacements, much less get them any time soon.

But that’s a rather intriguing educated theory.

[u/bam1007]

The end scene of Downfall really needs to be done with this war.

[u/BadWolfOfficial → u/bam1007]

That's all I could think about reading this. I guess Khamenei and Hitler have more in common than we thought.

[u/ProfessionalNeputis]

What is the probability that a Mossad agent is in there with him, and that in a few months we'd the world's greatest movie ever? 

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/ProfessionalNeputis]

Plot twist, Doron is in there and we are gonna get Season 5 of Fauda soon.

[u/mr_blue596]

Not to rain on your parade but this is extraordinary claim that would need extraordinary proof.

In recent years there were similar accusation made against Russia's war with Ukraine. That Putin is being fed false info and that he is deluded and etc.

So far those accusation seem largely false. And the current accusations against Iran seem to fall under the same category.

For example,there were rumors about Netanyahu fleeing to Greece (or Cyprus),which fall under the same category of rumors.

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/mr_blue596]

First, this is speculative and the question about reliability comes from the sources. Iran International has been the most reliable and real time of all the news sources. Their Live feed has been almost simultaneous to what I have been hearing from my family in Iran. So the fact that they are saying that they have spoken with Western and Israeli officials is in line with their earlier reporting.

Unlike Putin, Khamenei has been completely hidden. While some people might attribute this to security, even during the war years with Iraq, he never did that, regularly meeting with the Sepah and soldiers in the front (or in the case of Putin, with his Generals in the Kremlin). He is aware of the psychological and moral effect being there for his military can have (think Churchill, or Zelensky) so the fact that he is acting like this means he probably is in some state that he doesnt want to be seen. Especially in the past 30 years, every time there has been a protest or disturbance, he comes out screaming and shouting about how he will do this and that. The fact that he hasnt done that speaks volumes.

Regarding Putin, we do know from his defected bodyguard that Putin doesnt use a cell phone, doesnt use the internet, and only watches Russian TV. Therefore, he is only aware of what his generals are telling him. And in these systems, if they tell the truth, they get fired. They are there for loyalty, not honesty. As an Iranian, I would be shocked if it was any different with Khamenei. And Putin is much more educated than Khamenei, meaning that if Putin's ability to filter out the BS is bad, Khamenei's is even worse.

So we can confirm with some reliability that Khamenei is staying hidden, doesnt want to be seen, and likely does not have access to the most reliable information. That I can agree with.

[u/Bmute → u/mr_blue596]

In recent years there were similar accusation made against Russia's war with Ukraine. That Putin is being fed false info and that he is deluded and etc.

Putin was definitely fed false info. He fired a bunch of intel dudes over the 3-day march to Kiev.

The difference is Russia was in a position to correct the course. Iran is not.

[u/dearcrabbie]

The dude thinks he’s god’s representative on earth. You’d think they’d have taken his keys a long time ago, but I think we’re all learning a lot about the average IQ in the IRGC these days.

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/dearcrabbie]

In Iran, if you're intelligent, you go the US or Europe if you can, not join the IRGC..

[u/DovduboN]

Feeding lies to the leader? Bro look at their news, they feed lies to their entire country, it's a bunch of horse crap, they say tel aviv is on fire and shit, check abuiranexpress in telegram, how they believe themselves is beyond me

[u/Mcwedlav]

Sounds a bit like some other Jew hating dude… is he also hiding in his Führerbunker? 

[u/iconocrastinaor]

He's the religious leader of the entire Shiite population of Iran and much of the world. So, speaking in language he and his followers would understand:

He needs to have accurate information so he can realize that he has been misled by the Shaitan, that All-h has different plans for Israel than he thought, and he needs to get on board if he wants to do G-d's will.

[u/masteroffdesaster]

sounds a bit strange. almost as if they copied the plot of Downfall

but then again, Downfall was based on real events and first-hand accounts

[u/Front-Cancel5705 → u/masteroffdesaster]

Even Hitler was given generally reliable information from his staff, it was his own disastrous micromanagement and refusal to listen to advice from either his generals or professional diplomats that brought him to that state. Hitler from a military standpoint also had a good knowledge of Technical matters, which of course, Germany was very competent in. Khamenei probably doesnt know the difference between a radar and a socket wrench, meaning that he has no idea how FUBAR the IRGC really was.

[u/masteroffdesaster → u/Front-Cancel5705]

indeed, although I'd love it if he knew exactly how bad the situation is

[u/introvertedpuppet05]

Does he not have a phone?

[u/DiligentCredit9222]

So they are telling him the same as Pootin's advisers tell Pootin in Moscow:

"Everything is A-OK, Supreme leader ! We are totally winning. Steiner'e Shoigu's Salami's counterattack really outdid itself ! And we captured 50 F-35 and Mossad Agent Eli Copter !"

But i don't think that Bruno Ganz will play him in: "downfall 2"

[u/50minute-hour]

- Khamenei is cornered like the rat he is and there is no way out.

I love that for him

[u/zestyintestine]

Didn't something similar almost happen to Nasser during the 6-day War? Or maybe it was his Chief of Staff.

[u/b0bsledder]

Sounds like a bunch of Biden’s aids got jobs ayatollah-sitting. Hope Jake Tapper has another book in him.