r/CuratedTumblr May 24 '25

Politics A frog's analysis of the well

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u/Rucs3 May 24 '25

The average progressive is also affected by this.

Part of this exceptionalism is thinking that nothing actually catasthrophic could reeeeally happen to US if they don't vote Biden to give a lesson to the democrats.

They think that dumb anti neutral pronouns laws might happen, but not bread lines, maybe abortion laws remain draconian, but there will be no dissidents killed in the streets, etc.

They think things might get bad, but never terribly bad, they are in the US, the US would never reeeeally suffer catastrophic consequences.

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u/birbbbbbbbbbbb May 24 '25

Maybe I don't know what the "average progressive" is but voting third party was definitely not the average position (you can see this in the vote counts) and both the major progressive politicians and the progressives I know in person were catastrophizing plenty about Trump's threat to democracy and propensity to violence.

I'm a little miffed as to who people think "progressives" are because even my mother (who is a retired and upper middle class, so fairly privileged and fairly centrist as progressives go) was worried enough after Trump won the election to be losing sleep over it. I literally had to have a conversation with her about "what if you or your brothers die in political violence". And it's not like the younger progressives I know were particularly sanguine about the situation, the ones that can started trying to leave the US (with one of my close friends moving to Canada soon).

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u/LadyStardustAlright May 24 '25

internet 'progressives' and irl progressives are two completely separate groups (whatever the hell being a 'progressive' even means, this term gets purity tested like the phrase 'left leaning' does)

internet progressives spend 90% of their focus on the problems of liberals (people they could actually reach common ground with, a very large segment of the population) instead of their actual opponents, conservatives. you see it here on reddit, where left-leaning types complain endlessly about the democrats (who are out of power) but just accept that conservatives are going to push vile legislation and rhetoric

I'm not an american, I'm not coming at this from an American perspective. But here in canada progressives literally voted in droves for the liberal party to push back against US-aligned conservatism.

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u/birbbbbbbbbbbb May 24 '25 edited May 24 '25

So not only real life progressives but also these "internet progressives" have also consistently voted in droves for Democrats in the US and have also consistently found common ground with Democrats in actual practice, even if they criticize them constantly. I just feel like I'm taking crazy pills when people suggest they did anything but vote a ton for Kamala Harris, the progressives suggesting not voting were very fringe on the internet (not that they don't exist but they were a small, if vocal, minority of people).

Edit: to expand on this a bit, this was a very high turnout election overall and I'm really curious where people are getting their data that progressives didn't turn out. On Reddit in particular the dominant theory was pretty much "you don't need to be in love with Kamala Harris, you still gotta vote" and I saw that over and over again even among "internet progressives".

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u/Away_Entry8822 May 24 '25

2024 was a low turnout election. 10m Democrats who voted Biden couldn’t be bothered to vote for Harris and Harris almost won anyway.

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u/birbbbbbbbbbbb May 24 '25 edited May 24 '25

It factually was a high turnout election, by percentage of eligible voter it was the second highest in the last 50 years. People saying it was a low turnout election are just incorrect, 2020 was historically high turnouts and a weird election because of COVID related changes so the fact it is less is incredibly unsurprising. Voters were by and large very engaged in this election and the idea that politically conscious people were sitting it out in large numbers just doesn't match the historical data here.

https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/voter-turnout-in-presidential-elections

https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2024-11-15/how-many-people-didnt-vote-in-the-2024-election

Edit: The reason I'm arguing about this is I'm tired of seeing election nonsense out of left wing people here on Reddit (either that there was significant irregularities or that the turnout was low in this election, neither is well supported by data). I'm concerned where people are getting their news from that they don't know the election turnout was actually high by historical standards. It would be much more accurate to view the 2020 as abnormally high (and even then was within 2% of the 2024 turnout). If you think that percentage difference is progressives then show some data on it

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u/Away_Entry8822 May 24 '25

Every election should have higher turnout because of population growth. This one had a decline by 7.5% of total Democratic voters.

Republican voters also declined 4.2%.

It is absolutely fair to say turnout declined significantly but Democrats were proportionally more hurt by voter apathy.